A Goodness of Fit Test for the Multilevel Logistic Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 643-659 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. A. P. N. M. Perera ◽  
M. R. Sooriyarachchi ◽  
S. L. Wickramasuriya
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Multilevel Logistic Model

A generalized logistic model of individual tree mortality for aspen, white spruce, and lodgepole pine in Alberta mixedwood forests

2001 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 283-291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong Yao ◽  
Stephen J Titus ◽  
S Ellen MacDonald
Keyword(s):  
Populus Tremuloides ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Lodgepole Pine ◽  
White Spruce ◽  
Ratio Test ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Individual Tree ◽  
Mixedwood Forests

A generalized logistic model of individual tree mortality was developed for trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.), white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss), and lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta Dougl. ex Loud. var. latifolia Engelm.) in Alberta boreal mixedwood forests based on an empirical data base of permanent sample plots. The model is suitable for observations from unequal remeasurement intervals. The maximum likelihood estimation was used to fit the model, the likelihood ratio test was combined with our understanding of mortality process to select the important variables, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was conducted to evaluate the fit. The fitted model predicts the survival probability of an individual tree based on the tree diameter at breast height, annual diameter increment, stand basal area, species composition, and site productivity.

scholarly journals A New Log-Logistic Lifetime Model with Mathematical Properties, Copula, Modified Goodness-of-Fit Test for Validation and Real Data Modeling

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmoud M. Mansour ◽  
Mohamed Ibrahim ◽  
Khaoula Aidi ◽  
Nadeem Shafique Butt ◽  
Mir Masoom Ali ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Survival Times ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Clayton Copula ◽  
Mathematical Properties ◽  
Renyi’S Entropy ◽  
The Right ◽  
Modified Test

After defining a new log-logistic model and studying its properties, some new bivariate type versions using “Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern Copula”, “modified Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern Copula”, “Clayton Copula”, and “Renyi’s entropy Copula” are derived. Then, using the Bagdonavicius-Nikulin goodness-of-fit (BN-GOF) test for validation, we proposed a goodness-of-fit test for a new log-logistic model. The modified test is applied for the “right censored” real dataset of survival times. All elements of the modified test are explicitly derived and given. Three real data applications are presented for measuring the flexibility and the importance of the new model under the uncensored scheme. Two other real datasets are analyzed for censored validation.

Validation of the CASUS score in Tunisian patients: a quality management tool in intensive care units

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Besbes ◽  
S Mleyhi ◽  
J Sahli ◽  
M Messai ◽  
J Ziadi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Surgery ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Cardiovascular Surgery ◽  
Management Tool ◽  
Medical Decision ◽  
Tunisian Population ◽  
Correct Classification ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
A Value

Abstract Background Early prediction of patients at highest risk of a poor outcome after cardiovascular surgery, including death can aid medical decision making, and adapt health care management in order to improve prognosis. In this context, we conducted this study to validate the CASUS severity score after cardiac surgery in the Tunisian population. Methods This is a retrospective cohort study conducted among patients who underwent cardiac surgery under extracorporeal circulation during the year 2018 at the Cardiovascular Surgery Department of La Rabta University Hospital in Tunisia. Data were collected from the patients hospitalization records. The discrimination of the score was assessed using the ROC curve and the calibration using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test and then by constructing the calibration curve. Overall correct classification was also obtained. Results In our study, the observed mortality rate was 10.52% among the 95 included patients. The discriminating power of the CASUS score was estimated by the area under the ROC curve (AUC), this scoring system had a good discrimination with AUC greater than 0.9 from postoperative Day 0 to Day 5.From postoperative day 0 to day 5, the Hosmer-Lemeshow's test gave a value of chi square test statistic ranging from 1.474 to 8.42 and a value of level of significance ranging from 0.39 to 0.99 indicating a good calibration. The overall correct classification rate from postoperative day 0 to day 5 ranged from 84.4% to 92.4%. Conclusions Despite the differences in the profile of the risk factors between the Tunisian population and the population constituting the database used to develop the CASUS score, we can say that this risk model presents acceptable performances in our population, attested by adequate discrimination and calibration. Prospective and especially multicentre studies on larger samples are needed before definitively conclude on the performance of this model in our country. Key messages The casus score seems to be valid to predict mortality among patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Multicenter study on larger sample is needed to derive and validate models able to predict in-hospitals mortality.

Goodness-of-fit test with a robustness feature

Test ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiming Jiang ◽  
Mahmoud Torabi
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test

scholarly journals Joint Modeling of Precipitation and Temperature Using Copula Theory for Current and Future Prediction under Climate Change Scenarios in Arid Lands (Case Study, Kerman Province, Iran)

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Mesbahzadeh ◽  
M. M. Miglietta ◽  
M. Mirakbari ◽  
F. Soleimani Sardoo ◽  
M. Abdolhoseini
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Joint Modeling ◽  
Copula Function ◽  
Gaussian Copula ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Climatic Parameters ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Copula Theory ◽  
Precipitation And Temperature

Precipitation and temperature are very important climatic parameters as their changes may affect life conditions. Therefore, predicting temporal trends of precipitation and temperature is very useful for societal and urban planning. In this research, in order to study the future trends in precipitation and temperature, we have applied scenarios of the fifth assessment report of IPCC. The results suggest that both parameters will be increasing in the studied area (Iran) in future. Since there is interdependence between these two climatic parameters, the independent analysis of the two fields will generate errors in the interpretation of model simulations. Therefore, in this study, copula theory was used for joint modeling of precipitation and temperature under climate change scenarios. By the joint distribution, we can find the structure of interdependence of precipitation and temperature in current and future under climate change conditions, which can assist in the risk assessment of extreme hydrological and meteorological events. Based on the results of goodness of fit test, the Frank copula function was selected for modeling of recorded and constructed data under RCP2.6 scenario and the Gaussian copula function was used for joint modeling of the constructed data under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document