scholarly journals Stock market trading volumes and economic uncertainty dependence: before and during Sino-U.S. trade friction

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 1711-1728
Author(s):  
Yuxin Cai ◽  
Yuyu Tao ◽  
Zhengxuan Yan
IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 30898-30917 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando G. D. C. Ferreira ◽  
Amir H. Gandomi ◽  
Rodrigo T. N. Cardoso

Author(s):  
Edson Kambeu

A logistic regression model is has also become a popular model because of its ability to predict, classify and draw relationships between a dichotomous dependent variable and dependent variables. On the other hand, the R programming language has become a popular language for building and implementing predictive analytics models. In this paper, we apply a logistic regression model in the R environment in order to examine whether daily trading volume at the Botswana Stock Exchange influence daily stock market movement. Specifically, we use a logistic regression model to find the relationship between daily stock movement and the trading volumes experienced in the recent five previous trading days. Our results show that only the trading volume for the third previous day influence current stock market index movement. Overall, trading volumes of the past five days were found not have an impact on today’s stock market movement. The results can be used as a basis for building a predictive model that utilizes trading as a predictor of stock market movement.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ignacio N Lobato ◽  
Carlos Velasco

Abstract We propose a single step estimator for the autoregressive and moving-average roots (without imposing causality or invertibility restrictions) of a nonstationary Fractional ARMA process. These estimators employ an efficient tapering procedure, which allows for a long memory component in the process, but avoid estimating the nonstationarity component, which can be stochastic and/or deterministic. After selecting automatically the order of the model, we robustly estimate the AR and MA roots for trading volume for the thirty stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index in the last decade. Two empirical results are found. First, there is strong evidence that stock market trading volume exhibits non-fundamentalness. Second, non-causality is more common than non-invertibility.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document