The briefly review and the development of the financial risk early warning theory is first discussed in this study and the domestic and foreign research is analyzed as a brief summary. Secondly, the concept of financial risks, financial crisis and the financial early warning is defined. Financial fragility as a starting point is used to establish the rationality model of the financial risk early warning system. The early warning indicators is selected on the basis of the 12 indicators of macro-financial risks, 15 net financial indicators is selected to represent the financial markets according to the characteristics of China's financial markets. In the empirical part, the previous empirical analysis method is chosen to build the financial risk early warning signal system. In order to display China's financial risk profile, the proper model for the calculation is made on the basis of empirical analysis. Thus, in order to minimize the local financial risk, the early warning system should be established by the local government, together with some other necessary measures.
An Empirical Study on the Early Warning Mechanism of Financial Business Cycle Based on the BP Algorithms
