Estimating long memory in the mark–dollar exchange rate with high frequency data

2006 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 361-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio Morana
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Dollar Exchange Rate

Forecasting Exchange Rate Realized Volatility Through Decomposition Using High-Frequency Data

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rim mname Lamouchi ◽  
Russell mname Davidson ◽  
Ibrahim mname Fatnassi ◽  
Abderazak Ben mname Maatoug
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Realized Volatility ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data

scholarly journals Keynes and the dollar in 1933: the gold-buying program and exchange rate gyrations

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 209-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Edwards
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Open Letter ◽  
The Ideal

In December 1933, John Maynard Keyes published an open letter to President Roosevelt, where he wrote: ‘The recent gyrations of the dollar have looked to me more like a gold standard on the booze than the ideal managed currency of my dreams.’ This was a criticism of the ‘gold-buying program’ launched in October 1933. In this article I use high-frequency data on the dollar–pound and dollar–franc exchange rates to investigate whether the gyrations of the dollar were unusually high in late 1933. My results show that although volatility was pronounced, it was not higher than during some other periods after 1921. Moreover, dollar volatility began to subside towards the end of the period alluded to by Keynes.

scholarly journals Modelando e Prevendo a Volatilidade dos Retornos de Ativos Brasileiros: uma Abordagem da Variância Realizada

2006 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Marcelo C. Carvalho ◽  
Marco Aurélio S. Freire ◽  
Marcelo Cunha Medeiros ◽  
Leonardo R. Souza
Keyword(s):  
Long Memory ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Realized Volatility ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Normality Assumption ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Management Area

The goal of this paper is twofold. First, using five of the most actively traded stocks in the Brazilian financial market, this paper shows that the normality assumption commonly used in the risk management area to describe the distributions of returns standardized by volatilities is not compatible with volatilities estimated by EWMA or GARCH models. In sharp contrast, when the information contained in high frequency data is used to construct the realized volatility measures, we attain the normality of the standardized returns, giving promise of improvements in Value-at-Risk statistics. We also describe the distributions of volatilities of the Brazilian stocks, showing that they are nearly lognormal. Second, we estimate a simple model of the log of realized volatilities that differs from the ones in other studies. The main difference is that we do not find evidence of long memory. The estimated model is compared with commonly used alternatives in out-of-sample forecasting experiment.

scholarly journals Parsimonious Heterogeneous ARCH Models for High Frequency Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Juan Carlos Ruilova ◽  
Pedro Alberto Morettin
Keyword(s):  
Financial Market ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Arch Models ◽  
Heterogeneous Information ◽  
Modeling Process ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Garch Model

In this work we study a variant of the GARCH model when we consider the arrival of heterogeneous information in high-frequency data. This model is known as HARCH(n). We modify the HARCH(n) model when taking into consideration some market components that we consider important to the modeling process. This model, called parsimonious HARCH(m,p), takes into account the heterogeneous information present in the financial market and the long memory of volatility. Some theoretical properties of this model are studied. We used maximum likelihood and Griddy-Gibbs sampling to estimate the parameters of the proposed model and apply it to model the Euro-Dollar exchange rate series.

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