Undermining the party: anti-black attitudes, presidential vote choice, and split-ticket voting among white voters

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Carrie A. LeVan ◽  
Stacey A. Greene
Keyword(s):  
Vote Choice ◽  
White Voters

The Compound Effects of Candidate Race and Racial Resentment in US House Elections

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 299-325
Author(s):  
Isaac Hale
Keyword(s):  
Political Science ◽  
Racial Attitudes ◽  
Science Research ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
White Voters ◽  
Racial Resentment ◽  
Theoretical Predictions ◽  
To Receive

AbstractDespite the longstanding underrepresentation of blacks in Congress, political science research has not settled on the cause. While there is increasing evidence that racial attitudes affect vote choice in today's congressional elections, how this effect interacts with the race of the candidates is unknown. This study addresses this debate by analyzing novel survey, census, and candidate data from the Obama era of congressional elections (2010–2016) to test whether racially prejudiced attitudes held by whites decrease their likelihood of supporting black Democratic candidates and Democratic candidates as a whole. In line with theoretical predictions, this paper finds that Democratic House candidates are less likely to receive votes among white voters with strong racial resentment toward blacks, and black Democratic candidates fare even worse. These findings help to explain the persistence of black legislative underrepresentation and contribute to theories of partisan racial realignment.

scholarly journals The Differential Effects of Economic Conditions and Racial Attitudes in the Election of Donald Trump

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 358-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jon Green ◽  
Sean McElwee
Keyword(s):  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Racial Attitudes ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
People Of Color ◽  
Economic Data ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
White Voters ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Zip Code ◽  
Limited Scope

Debates over the extent to which racial attitudes and economic distress explain voting behavior in the 2016 election have tended to be limited in scope, focusing on the extent to which each factor explains white voters’ two-party vote choice. This limited scope obscures important ways in which these factors could have been related to voting behavior among other racial sub-groups of the electorate, as well as participation in the two-party contest in the first place. Using the vote-validated 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Survey, merged with economic data at the ZIP code and county levels, we find that racial attitudes strongly explain two-party vote choice among white voters—in line with a growing body of literature. However, we also find that local economic distress was strongly associated with non-voting among people of color, complicating direct comparisons between racial and economic explanations of the 2016 election and cautioning against generalizations regarding causal emphasis.

Sex (And Ethnicity) in the City: Affinity Voting in the 2014 Toronto Mayoral Election

2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 359-383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen Bird ◽  
Samantha D. Jackson ◽  
R. Michael McGregor ◽  
Aaron A. Moore ◽  
Laura B. Stephenson
Keyword(s):  
Minority Groups ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Interactive Effects ◽  
Visible Minority ◽  
Ethnic Chinese ◽  
Visible Minorities ◽  
Mayoral Election ◽  
White Voters ◽  
Minority Candidate ◽  
The City

AbstractDo women vote for women and men for men? Do visible minorities vote for minority candidates, and white voters for white candidates? And what happens when a minority woman appears on the ballot? This study tests for the presence of gender and ethnic affinity voting in the Toronto mayoral election of 2014, where Olivia Chow was the only woman and only visible minority candidate among the three major contenders. Our analysis, which draws on a survey of eligible Toronto voters, is the first to examine the interactive effects of sex and ethnicity on vote choice in Canada in the context of a non-partisan election and in a non-experimental manner. We find strong evidence of ethnic affinity voting and show that Chow received stronger support from ethnic Chinese voters than from other minority groups. Our results also reveal that gender was related to vote choice but only when connected with race.

scholarly journals The Differential Effects of Economic Conditions and Racial Attitudes in the Election of Donald Trump

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jon Green ◽  
Sean McElwee
Keyword(s):  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Racial Attitudes ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
People Of Color ◽  
Economic Data ◽  
Economic Distress ◽  
White Voters ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Zip Code ◽  
Limited Scope

Debates over the extent to which racial attitudes and economic distress explain voting behavior in the 2016 election have tended to be limited in scope, focusing on the extent to which each factor explains white voters’ two-party vote choice. This limited scope obscures important ways in which these factors could have been related to voting behavior among other racial sub-groups of the electorate, as well as participation in the two-party contest in the first place. Using the vote-validated 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Survey, merged with economic data at the ZIP code and county levels, we find that racial attitudes strongly explain two-party vote choice among white voters – in line with a growing body of literature. However, we also find that local economic distress was strongly associated with non-voting among people of color, complicating direct comparisons between racial and economic explanations of the 2016 election and cautioning against generalizations regarding causal emphasis.

“I think Canadians look like all sorts of people”: ethnicity, political leadership, and the case of Jagmeet Singh

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-32
Author(s):  
Joanie Bouchard
Keyword(s):  
Political Behavior ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
Past Research ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Political Leaders ◽  
Party Leaders ◽  
Sociodemographic Profile ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Voting Intentions

Abstract Research into the impact of a politician's sociodemographic profile on vote choice in Westminster-style systems has been hindered by the relative sociodemographic homogeneity of party leaders. Past research has focused mainly on the evaluation of local candidates in the American context, but given that elections in plurality systems are far less candidate-oriented , the evaluation of local candidates tells us little about the prevalence of affinity or discrimination in other contexts. This article investigates the effect of political leaders' ethnicity on political behavior by looking at the case of Jagmeet Singh in Canada, the first federal party leader of color in the country's history. While the literature has shown that the gender of leaders in Canada can matter, little is known about the attitudes of Canadians toward party leaders of color specifically. We are interested in the evaluations of Singh and his party, as well as the shifts in voting intentions between elections in 2015 and 2019. We uncover affinity-based behaviors from individuals who identify as Sikh, as well as a negative reception of Singh's candidacy in Quebec.

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