New prediction of chaotic time series based on local Lyapunov exponent

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 050502 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Zhang
2012 ◽  
Vol 197 ◽  
pp. 271-277
Author(s):  
Zhu Ping Gong

Small data set approach is used for the estimation of Largest Lyapunov Exponent (LLE). Primarily, the mean period drawback of Small data set was corrected. On this base, the LLEs of daily qualified rate time series of HZ, an electronic manufacturing enterprise, were estimated and all positive LLEs were taken which indicate that this time series is a chaotic time series and the corresponding produce process is a chaotic process. The variance of the LLEs revealed the struggle between the divergence nature of quality system and quality control effort. LLEs showed sharp increase in getting worse quality level coincide with the company shutdown. HZ’s daily qualified rate, a chaotic time series, shows us the predictable nature of quality system in a short-run.


1996 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 292 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Baglio ◽  
L. Fortuna ◽  
G. Manganaro

2013 ◽  
Vol 712-715 ◽  
pp. 2415-2418
Author(s):  
Juan Liu ◽  
Xue Wei Bai ◽  
Dao Cai Chi

A Local Piecewise-Linearity Prediction method is presented, Based on the advantages and limitations of local prediction of chaotic time series. Taking time series of rainfall as example for prediction the rainfall of one city in Liaoning province, which includes the application of the largest Lyapunov exponent, Local-region method and Local Piecewise-Linearity method. The method proposed is proved practical in comparison with the observed data.


1996 ◽  
Vol 06 (02) ◽  
pp. 377-381 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROBERT C. HILBORN ◽  
MINGZHOU DING

In this paper we consider the estimation of the correlation dimension from a scalar chaotic time series using delay coordinates. Past work has shown that there appears to be a reconstruction space for which the correlation integral has the longest scaling region. We give a firmer foundation to this idea by developing a theory that estimates the dimension of this “optimal” reconstruction space in terms of dynamical quantities such as the largest Lyapunov exponent.


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