scholarly journals Gaussian approximation of general non-parametric posterior distributions

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 509-529
Author(s):  
Zuofeng Shang ◽  
Guang Cheng

AbstractIn a general class of Bayesian non-parametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process (GP). Our results apply to non-parametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and non-Gaussian regression and also hold for both efficient (root-$n$) and inefficient (non-root-$n$) estimations. Our general approximation theorem does not rely on posterior conjugacy and can be verified in a class of GP priors that has a smoothing spline interpretation. In particular, the limiting posterior measure becomes prior free under a Bayesian version of ‘under-smoothing’ condition. Finally, we apply our approximation theorem to examine the asymptotic frequentist properties of Bayesian procedures such as credible regions and credible intervals.

Author(s):  
Mehdi Ahmadian ◽  
Xubin Song

Abstract A non-parametric model for magneto-rheological (MR) dampers is presented. After discussing the merits of parametric and non-parametric models for MR dampers, the test data for a MR damper is used to develop a non-parametric model. The results of the model are compared with the test data to illustrate the accuracy of the model. The comparison shows that the non-parametric model is able to accurately predict the damper force characteristics, including the damper non-linearity and electro-magnetic saturation. It is further shown that the parametric model can be numerically solved more efficiently than the parametric models.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Tao Sun

[ACCESS RESTRICTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI AT AUTHOR'S REQUEST.] Nonlinear estimation and filtering have been intensively studied for decades since it has been widely used in engineering and science such as navigation, radar signal processing and target tracking systems. Because the posterior density function is not a Gaussian distribution, then the optimal solution is intractable. The nonlinear/non-Gaussian estimation problem is more challenging than the linear/Gaussian case, which has an optimal closed form solution, i.e. the celebrated Kalman filter. Many nonlinear filters including the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter and the Gaussian-approximation filters, have been proposed to address nonlinear/non-Gaussian estimation problems in the past decades. Although the estimate yield by Gaussian-approximation filters such as cubature Kalman filters and Gaussian-Hermite quadrature filters is satisfied in many applications, there are two obvious drawbacks embedded in the use of Gaussian filters. On the one hand, with the increase of the quadrature points, much computational effort is devoted to approximate Gaussian integrals, which is not worthy sometimes. On the other hand, by the use of the update rule, the estimate constrains to be a linear function of the observation. In this dissertation, we aim to address this two shortcoming associated with the conventional nonlinear filters. We propose two nonlinear filters in the dissertation. Based on an adaptive strategy, the first one tries to reduce the computation cost during filtering without sacrificing much accuracy, because when the system is close to be linear, the lower level Gaussian quadrature filter is sufficient to provide accurate estimate. The adaptive strategy is used to evaluate the nonlinearity of the system at current time first and then utilize different quadrature rule for filtering. Another filter aims to modify the conventional update rule, i.e. the linear minimum mean square error (LMMSE) rule, to involve a nonlinear transformation of the observation, which is proven to be an efficient way to exploit more information from the original observation. According to the orthogonal property, we propose a novel approach to construct the nonlinear transformation systematically. The augmented nonlinear filter outperforms Gaussian filters and other conventional augmented filters in terms of the root mean square error and onsistency. Furthermore, we also extend the work to the more general case. The higher order moments can be utilized to construct the nonlinear transformation and in turn, the measurement space can be expand efficiently. Without the Gaussian assumption, the construction of the nonlinear transformation only demand the existence of a finite number of moments. Finally, the simulation results validate and demonstrate the superiority of the adaptive and augmented nonlinear filters.


2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 567-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam J. Branscum ◽  
Timothy E. Hanson ◽  
Ian A. Gardner

1989 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 331-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. A. Elston ◽  
C. A. Glasbey ◽  
D. R. Neilson

ABSTRACTLactation curves are fitted to data as a preliminary to estimating summary statistics. Two widely quoted curves are atbe-ct (Wood, 1967) and a(1 - e-bt) - ct (Cobby and Le Du, 1978), each of which has three parameters. Restriction to either of these curves imposes limitations on the fit to the data and can result in biased estimation of summary statistics. Alternatively, lactation curves can be generated by the use of a non-parametric method which requires only weak assumptions about the signs of derivatives of the curves. Because the non-parametric curves are more flexible, estimates of summary statistics are less likely to be biased than those based on parametric models. Use of the non-parametric curves is particularly advantageous around the time of peak yield, where the curves of Wood and Cobby and Le Du are known to fit data poorly.


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