Predicting feelings

Author(s):  
Andrew MacLeod

As well as predicting outcomes, we also anticipate how we are going to feel when those outcomes happen, This chapter discusses affective forecasting. These affective predictions are likely to be important in guiding our behaviour. There is evidence that people overestimate the strength of feeling that they will experience in response to future events, both positive and negative, although the conclusion that we are poor at judging our future feelings has been overstated. Those who are depressed do show lowered expectations of feeling good in future positive situations, something that is an important component in their of lack of motivation and engagement. Evidence about how depressed people actually do respond emotionally when situations do occur is very mixed. Similarly, studies examining whether those who are high in depression are more (or less) accurate, or are biased, in predicting their feelings have also produced mixed findings.

2005 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 131-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy D. Wilson ◽  
Daniel T. Gilbert

People base many decisions on affective forecasts, predictions about their emotional reactions to future events. They often display an impact bias, overestimating the intensity and duration of their emotional reactions to such events. One cause of the impact bias is focalism, the tendency to underestimate the extent to which other events will influence our thoughts and feelings. Another is people's failure to anticipate how quickly they will make sense of things that happen to them in a way that speeds emotional recovery. This is especially true when predicting reactions to negative events: People fail to anticipate how quickly they will cope psychologically with such events in ways that speed their recovery from them. Several implications are discussed, such as the tendency for people to attribute their unexpected resilience to external agents.


2019 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 245-275
Author(s):  
Jeffrey J. Glenn ◽  
Philip I. Chow ◽  
Bethany A. Teachman

Introduction: The current study investigated whether high and low socially-anxious individuals would show differences in affective forecasting accuracy (i.e., the prediction of emotional states in response to future events) to positive versus negative social evaluation. Method: High (n = 94) and low (n = 98) socially-anxious participants gave a speech and were randomly assigned to receive a positive or negative evaluation. Results: For affective forecasts made proximally (moments before the speech), those low in social anxiety overpredicted their affect to a greater extent to a negative evaluation versus a positive evaluation. In contrast, those high in social anxiety overpredicted their affect to positive and negative evaluations comparably, and failed to adjust their prediction for a future hypothetical negative evaluation—in effect, not learning from their prior forecasting error. Discussion: Results suggest that affective forecasting biases deserve further study as a maintaining factor for social anxiety symptoms.


2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allen R. McConnell ◽  
Elizabeth W. Dunn ◽  
Sara N. Austin ◽  
Catherine D. Rawn

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica Hartnett ◽  
John Skowronski

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document