Probability and random variables

Author(s):  
M. D. Edge

This chapter considers the rules of probability. Probabilities are non-negative, they sum to one, and the probability that either of two mutually exclusive events occurs is the sum of the probability of the two events. Two events are said to be independent if the probability that they both occur is the product of the probabilities that each event occurs. Bayes’ theorem is used to update probabilities on the basis of new information, and it is shown that the conditional probabilities P(A|B) and P(B|A) are not the same. Finally, the chapter discusses ways in which distributions of random variables can be described, using probability mass functions for discrete random variables and probability density functions for continuous random variables.

Author(s):  
Eahsan Shahriary ◽  
Amir Hajibabaee

This book offers the students and researchers a unique introduction to Bayesian statistics. Authors provide a wonderful journey in the realm of Bayesian Probability and aspire readers to become Bayesian statisticians. The book starts with Introduction to Probability and covers Bayes’ Theorem, Probability Mass Functions, Probability Density Functions, The Beta-Binomial Conjugate, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), and Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm. The book is very well written, and topics are very to the point with real-world applications but does not provide examples for computing using common open-source software.


1987 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 632-651 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ushio Sumita ◽  
Yasushi Masuda

We consider a class of functions on [0,∞), denoted by Ω, having Laplace transforms with only negative zeros and poles. Of special interest is the class Ω+ of probability density functions in Ω. Simple and useful conditions are given for necessity and sufficiency of f ∊ Ω to be in Ω+. The class Ω+ contains many classes of great importance such as mixtures of n independent exponential random variables (CMn), sums of n independent exponential random variables (PF∗n), sums of two independent random variables, one in CMr and the other in PF∗1 (CMPFn with n = r + l) and sums of independent random variables in CMn(SCM). Characterization theorems for these classes are given in terms of zeros and poles of Laplace transforms. The prevalence of these classes in applied probability models of practical importance is demonstrated. In particular, sufficient conditions are given for complete monotonicity and unimodality of modified renewal densities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryszard SNOPKOWSKI ◽  
Marta SUKIENNIK ◽  
Aneta NAPIERAJ

The article presents selected issues in the field of stochastic simulation of production process-es. Attention was drawn to the possibilityof including, in this type of models, the risk accompanying the implementation of processes. Probability density functions that can beused to characterize random variables present in the model are presented. The possibility of making mistakes while creat-ing this typeof models was pointed out. Two selected examples of the use of stochastic simulation in the analysis of production processes on theexample of the mining process are presented.


Author(s):  
Therese M. Donovan ◽  
Ruth M. Mickey

This chapter focuses on probability mass functions. One of the primary uses of Bayesian inference is to estimate parameters. To do so, it is necessary to first build a good understanding of probability distributions. This chapter introduces the idea of a random variable and presents general concepts associated with probability distributions for discrete random variables. It starts off by discussing the concept of a function and goes on to describe how a random variable is a type of function. The binomial distribution and the Bernoulli distribution are then used as examples of the probability mass functions (pmf’s). The pmfs can be used to specify prior distributions, likelihoods, likelihood profiles and/or posterior distributions in Bayesian inference.


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