scholarly journals Volatility Contagion across the Equity Markets of Developed and Emerging Market Economies

2019 ◽  
pp. 99-117
Author(s):  
Masazumi Hattori ◽  
Ilhyock Shim ◽  
Yoshihiko Sugihara
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Equity Fund ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Using variance risk premiums (VRPs) nonparametrically calculated from equity markets in selected major developed economies and emerging market economies (EMEs) over 2007–15, this chapter documents the correlation of VRPs across markets, examining whether equity fund flows work as a path through which VRPs spill over globally. It finds that VRPs tend to spike up during market turmoil such as the peak of the global financial crisis and the European debt crisis; that all cross-equity market correlations of VRPs are positive, and that some economy pairs exhibit high levels of the correlation. In terms of volatility contagion, it finds that an increase in US VRPs significantly reduces equity fund flows to other developed economies, but not those to EMEs, following the global financial crisis. Two-stage least squares estimation results show that equity fund flows are a channel for spillover of US VRPs to VRPs in other developed economies.

scholarly journals Why Did Public Banks Lend More During the Global Financial Crisis?

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (84) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Bosshardt ◽  
Eugenio Cerutti
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Data Limitations ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Public Banks ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

During the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), state-owned or public banks lent relatively more than domestic private banks in many countries. However, data limitations have hindered a thorough assessment of what led public banks to better maintain lending during the GFC. Using a novel bank-level dataset covering 25 emerging market economies, we show that public banks lent relatively more during the GFC because they pursued an objective of helping to stabilize the economy, rather than because they had superior fundamentals or access to public or depositors’ funding. Nonetheless, their countercyclical behavior seems unique to the GFC rather than a regular characteristic of public banks before and after the GFC.

Growth Prospects for Advanced and Emerging Market Economies

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 599-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominick Salvatore
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Secular Stagnation ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
The World ◽  
Growth Prospects

This paper examines the reasons for the slow growth in the advanced countries since the recent global financial crisis, the slowdown in growth or recession in emerging market economies, the danger that the world may be drifting toward a new global financial crisis, and that it may face even secular stagnation. The paper concludes that growth is likely to remain slow for the rest of this decade in advanced countries and to continue to decline in emerging market economies. It also examines the danger that with interest rates at the zero-bound level in advanced nations, a new financial bubble may be in the making as investors, in search of returns, undertake excessively risky investments, and that this may lead to a new global financial crisis. It is not certain, however, that the world is facing secular stagnation and, if so, that a new massive fiscal stimulus (as advocated but some) would prevent it or correct it.

scholarly journals Equity fund flows and stock market returns in the USA before and after the global financial crisis: a VAR-GARCH-in-mean analysis

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vassilios Babalos ◽  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
Nicola Spagnolo
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Equity Fund ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Abstract The 2008–2009 global financial crisis has raised new questions about the relationship between equity fund flows and stock market returns. This paper provides new insights by using US monthly data over the period 2000:1–2015:8 and estimating a VAR-GARCH(1, 1)-in-mean model with a BEKK representation, which also includes a switch dummy for the global financial crisis. We find causality-in-mean from stock market returns to equity fund flows (consistently with the feedback-trading hypothesis) only in the post-September 2008 period. There are also volatility spillovers from stock market returns to equity fund flows both before and after the crisis; however, this relationship is not stable, becoming weaker in the crisis period. As a robustness check, we augment the model with a set of macroeconomic control variables. Their inclusion does not affect the main results.

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