scholarly journals Lack of Accuracy of the GRACE score to Predict Coronary Anatomy in Acute Coronary Syndromes

Author(s):  
Mateus dos Santos Viana ◽  
Thomaz Emanoel Azevedo Silva ◽  
Gabriela Oliveira Bagano ◽  
Bruna de Sá Barreto Pontes ◽  
Milton Henrique Vitoria de Melo ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTIntroductionCoronary anatomy is one of the strongest risk predictors in Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS), which justifies early coronary angiography. Diagnostic scores for predicting outcomes are usually superior to clinical judgment. Despite being validated for prognosis, the GRACE score has been used to discriminate patients with high or low probability of anatomical severity.ObjectiveTo test the hypothesis that the GRACE score actually predicts anatomical severity.MethodsThe study was carried out by assessing consecutive patients with ACS who underwent invasive angiography. Severe anatomical disease was defined as obstructive involvement (≥ 70% in diameter) in (1) left main coronary artery or (2) double or triple vessel disease involving proximal left anterior descending artery or (3) subocclusion. The GRACE score was evaluated under numerical and dichotomous tests.ResultsA total of 733 patients were evaluated, aged 63 ± 14 years, 61% male and GRACE score of 119 ± 37. Obstructive coronary disease was observed in 81% of the patients, classified as one, two or three vessel disease, or left main coronary artery involvement in 28%, 23%, 26% and 4%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of the GRACE score was 0.65 (95% CI = 0.61 - 0.69) for predicting severe disease. The cutoff point below which the first GRACE tertile is defined (109) was used to dichotomize low-risk (N = 318) and medium-high-risk (N = 415) samples. This standard definition of intermediate-high risk by the GRACE score (> 109) revealed sensitivity of 67% in detecting severe anatomy (95% CI = 61% - 72%) and specificity of 50% (95% CI = 46% - 55%), resulting in positive likelihood ratio of 1.3 (95% CI = 1.2 - 1.5) and negative likelihood ratio of 0.66 (95% CI = 0.55 - 0.80). There was a weak correlation between GRACE and anatomical scores such as SYNTAX (r = 0.36, P < 0.001) and Gensini (r = 0.36, P < 0.001).ConclusionDespite statistical association with extent of anatomical coronary disease, the GRACE Score is not accurate to predict severity of disease before coronary angiography.

2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (10) ◽  
pp. 769-773
Author(s):  
Bozidarka Knezevic ◽  
Goran Nikolic ◽  
Sinisa Dragnic ◽  
Ljilja Music ◽  
Aneta Boskovic

Introduction. Patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS) are sometimes severely hemodynamicly compromised. Urgent coronary angiography should be performed in these patients in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) centers according to the ESC NSTE-ACS guidelines to determine suitabilty for percutaneous or surgical revascularization. Case report. We reported a 62-year-old male with chest pain admitted to the Coronary Care Unit. ST segment depression of 2 mm in leads I, L and V4-6 was revealed at electrocardiogram. After following 6 hours the patient had chest pain and signs of cardiogenic shock despite of the therapy. Chest x-ray showed pulmonary edema. Echocardiographic examination showed dyskinetic medium and apical segments of septum. The patient underwent coronary angiography immediately which revealed 75% stenosis of the left main coronary artery with thrombus. The use of a GPIIb/III inhibitor-tirofiban and stent implantation resulted in TIMI III flow. After that the patient had no chest pain and acute heart failure subsided in the following days Echocardiography done at the fourth day from PCI showed only hypokinesis medium and apical segment of septum. The patient was discharged at day 11 from admission in a stable condition. Conclusion. Stenting of left main coronary artery stenosis in patients with cardiogenic shock and non- ST segment elevation acute coronary syndromes may be a life saving procedure.


2017 ◽  
pp. 59-63
Author(s):  
Thanh Hung Dieu ◽  
Anh Vu Nguyen

Objects: We assessed the ability of ST-segment elevation in lead aVR to predict left main and/or 3-vessel disease (LM/3VD) in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Meterial and Method: 410 patients with ACS, who underwent coronary angiography, were evaluated. Results: 131 (31.9%) patients have been LM/3VD. ST segment elevation > 0.05 mV in leads aVR have been an independent predictor LM/3VD with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) 74.0%, 78.1%, 61.4% and 86.5%, respectively (p<0.001). ST segment elevation > 0.05 mV in leads aVR with ST segment depression in leads V4-V6 have related LM/3VD with sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV 44.3%, 92.8%, 74.4% and 75.2%, respectively (p<0.001). ST segment elevation > 0.1 mV in leads aVR have related LM/3VD with sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV 51.9%, 87.1%, 65.1% and 79.4%, respectively (p<0.001). Conclusions: ST segment elevation > 0.05 mV in leads aVR have been an independent predictor LM/3VD in patients with ACS. Key words: Acute coronary syndromes, ST-segment elevation, aVR


Circulation ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 116 (suppl_16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Santiago Garcia ◽  
Herbert B Ward ◽  
Thomas Moritz ◽  
Fred Littooy ◽  
Steve Goldman ◽  
...  

Background: The Coronary Artery Revascularization Prophylaxis (CARP) Trial was a multicenter randomized study that showed no long-term survival benefit with revascularization prior to elective vascular surgery in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). To determine whether subsets with high-risk anatomy benefited from preoperative revascularization, survival was determined in randomized and registry patients who underwent coronary angiography within 6 months of vascular surgery. Methods: Over a 4-year enrollment period, 4,876 patients were screened prior to vascular surgery and 1,048 (21.5%) had preoperative coronary angiography for either multiple cardiac risks or an abnormal preoperative stress test. The cohort included 462 randomized and 586 excluded patients and the probability of survival was determined at 2.5 years following vascular surgery. Results: Of 1,048 patients with preoperative coronary angiography, non-obstructive disease (< 70%) was present in 192 (18.3%) and 1 vessel disease (VD) was present in 244 (23.3%), with a combined survival of 0.84. Previous bypass surgery (CABG) was present in 225 (21.5%), with a survival of 0.78. High risk coronary anatomy in patients without prior CABG included 2-VD in 204 (19.5%), 3-VD in 130 (12.4%) and an unprotected left main stenosis > 50% in 48 (4.6%) patients. Their long-term survival according to the preoperative revascularization status is shown in the Table . Conclusions: The results demonstrate that an unprotected left main stenosis was present in 4.6% of high-risk patients presenting for vascular surgery and was the only anatomical subset that demonstrated a survival benefit with preoperative revascularization prior to vascular surgery. These data may warrant additional strategies to identify patients with unprotected left main disease either prior to or immediately following vascular surgery. Long-Term Probability of Survival at 2.5 Years Following Vascular Surgery


Author(s):  
Guilherme Garcia ◽  
Rafael Freitas ◽  
Felipe Kalil ◽  
Felipe Ferreira ◽  
André Silva ◽  
...  

Rational: The GRACE Score assessed at admission predicts mortality in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes (ACS). However, once coronary anatomy is assessed, it is not known whether this score increments prognostic assessment.  Objective: To test the hypothesis that the GRACE Score adds prognostic value to coronary anatomy in patients with ACS. Methods: Prospective cohort, including patients with ACS who underwent coronary angiography while admitted to the hospital. Anatomical extension of coronary disease was characterized by the Duke Jeopardy score (DJS) and the number diseased artery (NDA). The primary end-point was the composite of death, non-fatal MI or refractory unstable angina.  Results: 112 patients enrolled, aged 70 ± 12, 14% incidence of cardiovascular events. C-statistics for GRACE was 0.68 (95%CI=0.53-0.84), for DJS was 0.78 (95%CI=0.67-0.9) and for NAD was 0.74 (95%CI=0.61-0.88). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated independent predictive value of GRACE in relation to anatomical information. However, when this Score was added to DJS or NDA, no improving in c-statistic was observed: DJS-GRACE had a c-statistics of 0.78 (95%CI=0.64–0.92) and NAD-GRACE of 0.76 (95%CI=0.60–0.92).  Conclusion: The GRACE score does not add prognostic value to angiographic data in patients with ACS.


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