Wavelet recurrent neural network with semi-parametric input data preprocessing for micro-wind power forecasting in integrated generation Systems

Author(s):  
F. Bonanno ◽  
G. Capizzi ◽  
G. Lo Sciuto ◽  
C. Napoli
Author(s):  
Sumit Saroha ◽  
Sanjeev K. Aggarwal

Objective: The estimation accuracy of wind power is an important subject of concern for reliable grid operations and taking part in open access. So, with an objective to improve the wind power forecasting accuracy. Methods: This article presents Wavelet Transform (WT) based General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) with statistical time series input selection technique. Results: The results of the proposed model are compared with four different models namely naïve benchmark model, feed forward neural networks, recurrent neural networks and GRNN on the basis of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) performance metric. Conclusion: The historical data used by the presented models has been collected from the Ontario Electricity Market for the year 2011 to 2015 and tested for a long time period of more than two years (28 months) from November 2012 to February 2015 with one month estimation moving window.


2013 ◽  
Vol 341-342 ◽  
pp. 1303-1307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Dong Mao ◽  
Xiao Jing Zhang ◽  
Juan Li

Accurate short-term wind power forecasting has important significance to safety, stability and economy of power system dispatching and also it is a difficult problem in practical engineering application. In this paper, by use of the data of numerical weather forecast, such as wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity and pressure of atmosphere, a short-term wind power forecasting system based on BP neural network has been developed. For verifying the feasibility of the system, some experiments have been were carried out. The results show that the system is capable of predicting accurately the wind power of future 24 hours and the forecasting accuracy of 85.6% is obtained. The work of this paper has important engineering directive significance to the similar wind power forecasting system.


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