Conceptual Mapping of Risk Management to Data Mining

Author(s):  
T Johnson
Author(s):  
Vadlamani Ravi

This chapter introduces banking technology as a confluence of several disparate disciplines such as Finance (including risk management), Information technology, Computer Science, Communication technology and marketing science. It presents the evolution of banking, the tremendous influence of information and communication technologies on banking and its products, the quintessential role played by computer science in fulfilling banks’ marketing objective of servicing customers better at a less cost and thereby reap more profits. It also highlights the use of advanced statistics and computer science to measure, mitigate and manage various risks associated with banks’ business with its customers and other banks. The growing influence of customer relationship management and data mining in tackling various marketing related problems and fraud detection problems in banking industry is well documented. The chapter concludes by saying that the banking technology discipline is all set for rapid growth in future.


Author(s):  
Ali Serhan Koyuncugil

This chapter introduces an early warning system for SMEs (SEWS) as a financial risk detector which is based on data mining. In this study, the objective is to compose a system in which qualitative and quantitative data about the requirements of enterprises are taken into consideration, during the development of an early warning system. Furthermore, during the formation of system; an easy to understand, easy to interpret and easy to apply utilitarian model that is far from the requirement of theoretical background is targeted by the discovery of the implicit relationships between the data and the identification of effect level of every factor. Using the system, SME managers could easily reach financial management, risk management knowledge without any prior knowledge and expertise. In other words, experts share their knowledge with the help of data mining based and automated EWS.


Author(s):  
Philip L.H. Yu ◽  
Edmond H.C. Wu ◽  
W.K. Li

As a data mining technique, independent component analysis (ICA) is used to separate mixed data signals into statistically independent sources. In this chapter, we apply ICA for modeling multivariate volatility of financial asset returns which is a useful tool in portfolio selection and risk management. In the finance literature, the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model and its variants such as EGARCH and GJR-GARCH models have become popular standard tools to model the volatility processes of financial time series. Although univariate GARCH models are successful in modeling volatilities of financial time series, the problem of modeling multivariate time series has always been challenging. Recently, Wu, Yu, & Li (2006) suggested using independent component analysis (ICA) to decompose multivariate time series into statistically independent time series components and then separately modeled the independent components by univariate GARCH models. In this chapter, we extend this class of ICA-GARCH models to allow more flexible univariate GARCH-type models. We also apply the proposed models to compute the value-at-risk (VaR) for risk management applications. Backtesting and out-of-sample tests suggest that the ICA-GARCH models have a clear cut advantage over some other approaches in value-at-risk estimation.


Author(s):  
Mohamed Salah Hamdi

Data-mining technology delivers two key benefits: (i) a descriptive function, enabling enterprises, regardless of industry or size, in the context of defined business objectives, to automatically explore, visualize, and understand their data and to identify patterns, relationships, and dependencies that impact business outcomes (i.e., revenue growth, profit improvement, cost containment, and risk management); (ii) a predictive function, enabling relationships uncovered and identified through the data-mining process to be expressed as business rules or predictive models. These outputs can be communicated in traditional reporting formats (i.e., presentations, briefs, electronic information sharing) to guide business planning and strategy. Also, these outputs, expressed as programming code, can be deployed or hard wired into business-operating systems to generate predictions of future outcomes, based on newly generated data, with higher accuracy and certainty.


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