scholarly journals Fire Risk Analysis by using Sentinel-2 Data: The Case Study of the Vesuvius in Campania, Italy

Author(s):  
Domenico A. G. Dell'Aglio ◽  
Massimiliano Gargiulo ◽  
Antonio Iodice ◽  
Daniele Riccio ◽  
Giuseppe Ruello
Safety ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Florian Berchtold ◽  
Lukas Arnold ◽  
Christian Knaust ◽  
Sebastian Thöns

In risk-related research of fire safety engineering, metamodels are often applied to approximate the results of complex fire and evacuation simulations. This approximation may cause epistemic uncertainties, and the inherent uncertainties of evacuation simulations may lead to aleatory uncertainties. However, neither the epistemic ‘metamodel uncertainty’ nor the aleatory ‘inherent uncertainty’ have been included in the results of the metamodels for fire safety engineering. For this reason, this paper presents a metamodel that includes metamodel uncertainty and inherent uncertainty in the results of a risk analysis. This metamodel is based on moving least squares; the metamodel uncertainty is derived from the prediction interval. The inherent uncertainty is modelled with an original approach, directly using all replications of evacuation scenarios without the assumption of a specific probability distribution. This generic metamodel was applied on a case study risk analysis of a road tunnel and showed high accuracy. It was found that metamodel uncertainty and inherent uncertainty have clear effects on the results of the risk analysis, which makes their consideration important.


Author(s):  
S. K. Tomar ◽  
A. Kaur ◽  
H. K. Dangi ◽  
T. Ghawana ◽  
K. Sarma

One of the major challenge from unplanned growth in the cities is the fire incidents posing a serious threat to life and property. Delhi, the capital city of India, has seen unplanned growth of colonies resulting in a serious concern for the relevant agencies. This paper investigates the relation between potential causes of fire incidents during 2013-2016 in South-West Delhi Division of Delhi Fire Services as part of risk analysis using the data about fire stations & their jurisdictions, incidents of fire, water reservoirs available, landuse and population data along with the divisional & sub-divisional boundaries of South-West Delhi division under Delhi Fire Service. Statistical and Geospatial tools have been used together to perform the risk analysis. The analysis reveals that difference in actual occupancy and defined landuse as a part of unplanned growth of settlements is found to be the main reason behind the major fire incidents. The suggested mitigation measures focus on legal, policy, physical & technological aspects and highlight the need to bring the systemic changes with changing scenario of demographics and infrastructure to accommodate more aspects of ground reality.


2014 ◽  
Vol 84 ◽  
pp. 204-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wu Aiyou ◽  
Shi Shiliang ◽  
Li Runqiu ◽  
Tang Deming ◽  
Tang Xiafang

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Ho Yoo ◽  
Young Hwa Choi ◽  
Oh Sang Kweon

Fire ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luciano Santarpia ◽  
Simone Bologna ◽  
Virgilio Ciancio ◽  
Iacopo Golasi ◽  
Ferdinando Salata

During a fire in enclosed spaces, having structures with a good level of resistance is very important. The post flashover fire time interval, during which rescue squads operate, is important to verify if the structure can still resist fire for an acceptable time interval. This can be determined through the REI value. Hence, the way the fire develops must be examined together with the trend of the temperature that might guarantee that the structure will resist the heat flux released during the combustion. This article examines and compares, through a case study, the most important methods for analysis of the fire risk: the prescriptive approach and the simplified performance-based approach. The performance-based method (more suitable for the actual planning demand with respect to the more cautious prescriptive approach) is affected by the parameters influencing its development. The goal of this article is to provide a graph (based on parameters like the type of building, opening factor “O” and fire load “q”) that might be used by designers and architects to carry out the planning phase and adopt fire prevention systems before dealing with the assessments required by the engineering field for the fire risk analysis.


2013 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 609-617 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Li ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
George Hadjisophocleous

Risk Analysis ◽  
1985 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mardyros Kazarians ◽  
Nathan O. Siu ◽  
George Apostolakis

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