Applying Long Short-Term Memory Networks for natural gas demand prediction

Author(s):  
Athanasios Anagnostis ◽  
Elpiniki Papageorgiou ◽  
Vasileios Dafopoulos ◽  
Dionysios Bochtis
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 1151-1159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang An ◽  
Xiaocen Wang ◽  
Ronghe Chu ◽  
Bin Yue ◽  
Liqun Wu ◽  
...  

Hydrate plugging and pipeline leak can impair the normal operation of natural gas pipeline and may lead to serious accidents. Since natural gas pipeline safety monitoring based on active acoustic excitation can detect and locate not only the two abnormal events but also normal components such as valves and pipeline elbows, recognition and classification of these events are of great importance to provide maintenance guidance for the pipeline operators and avoid false alarm. In this article, long short-term memory (LSTM) network is introduced and applied to classify detection signals of hydrate plugging, pipeline leak, and elbow. Adaptive moment estimation (Adam) algorithm is introduced and utilized to accelerate the long short-term memory network convergence in training. Experimental results demonstrate that the network with three layers and 64 units per cell performs the best. The cross-entropy loss in training is 0.0005, and classification accuracies are all 100% in training, validation, and testing which verify the validity of the long short-term memory network. Therefore, the method based on the long short-term memory network and adaptive moment estimation algorithm can work efficiently on pipeline events classification and has great guiding significance for safety assurance of natural gas transmission.


2021 ◽  
Vol 299 ◽  
pp. 117256
Author(s):  
Georgios I. Tsoumalis ◽  
Zafeirios N. Bampos ◽  
Georgios V. Chatzis ◽  
Pandelis N. Biskas ◽  
Stratos D. Keranidis

Author(s):  
Yonghong Tian ◽  
Qi Wu ◽  
Yue Zhang

In recent years, the market demand for online car-hailing service has expanded dramatically. To satisfy the daily travel needs, it is important to predict the supply and demand of online car-hailing in an accurate manner, and make active scheduling based on the predicted gap between supply and demand. This paper puts forward a novel supply and demand prediction model for online carhailing, which combines the merits of convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The proposed model was named convolutional LSTM (C-LSTM). Next, the original data on online car-hailing were processed, and the key features that affect the supply and demand prediction were extracted. After that, the C-LSTM was optimized by the AdaBound algorithm during the training process. Finally, the superiority of the C-LSTM in predicting online car-hailing supply and demand was proved through contrastive experiments.


Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 992
Author(s):  
Wenjia Chen ◽  
Jinlin Li

To enhance the forecasting accuracy of daily teleconsultation demand, this study proposes an ensemble hybrid deep learning model. The proposed ensemble CNN attention-based BILSTM model (ECA-BILSTM) combines shallow convolutional neural networks (CNNs), attention mechanisms, and bidirectional long short-term memory (BILSTM). Moreover, additional variables are selected according to the characteristics of teleconsultation demand and added to the inputs of forecasting models. To verify the superiority of ECA-BILSTM and the effectiveness of additional variables, two actual teleconsultation datasets collected in the National Telemedicine Center of China (NTCC) are used as the experimental data. Results showed that ECA-BILSTMs can significantly outperform corresponding benchmark models. And two key additional variables were identified for teleconsultation demand prediction improvement. Overall, the proposed ECA-BILSTM model with effective additional variables is a feasible promising approach in teleconsultation demand forecasting.


2021 ◽  
pp. 111211
Author(s):  
Jieyang Peng ◽  
Andreas Kimmig ◽  
Jiahai Wang ◽  
Xiufeng Liu ◽  
Zhibin Niu ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdolreza Nazemi ◽  
Johannes Jakubik ◽  
Andreas Geyer-Schulz ◽  
Frank J. Fabozzi

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