The running system is the key part to finish training or battle tasks of complicated equipments. But formidable working conditions influence the measurement of load spectrums and it is difficult to analyze and forecast the reliability of running system. Actual vehicle experiments and virtual prototype are firstly combined to obtain complete load spectrum of running system. According to the materials S-N curve, stress and strain spectrums can be computed. Nominal stress method and local stress and strain method are combined with probability density accumulation damage theory to compute the probability density distribution function. Then, the reliability of running system can be forecasted, which provide adequate reference for the maintenance cycle confirmation and mission reliability prediction.
