Traffic Flow Prediction Algorithm Based on Flexible Neural Tree

Author(s):  
Xiao-Yue Ma ◽  
Ya Fang ◽  
Shi-Yuan Han ◽  
Ya-Xin Zhou ◽  
Ke Yang ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haibo Lv ◽  
Yuheng Kang ◽  
Zhou Shen

Abstract The nonlinear fluctuation and uncertainty that characterize urban traffic flow are well-known. An Improved Cuckoo Search-Wavelet Neural Network (ICS-WNN) prediction model for urban traffic flow is suggested in order to increase the accuracy of traffic flow predictions. After the original traffic flow data have been cleaned up and normalized, the traffic flow prediction network model is built by optimizing the wavelet neural network weights and wavelet shrinkage and translation factors based on the adaptive step size and discovery probability of the cuckoo algorithm, and then adding the neural network momentum factor. The traffic flow prediction network model is built in two stages. The results of the experimental simulations demonstrate that the ICS-WNN prediction algorithm has a better fit and accuracy than numerous common optimization prediction techniques, which is encouraging.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingmei Zhou ◽  
Hui Chang ◽  
Xin Cheng ◽  
Xiangmo Zhao

Short-term traffic flow has the characteristics of complex, changeable, strong timeliness, and so on. So the traditional prediction algorithm is difficult to meet its high real-time and accuracy requirements. In this paper, a multiscale and high-precision LSTM-GASVR short-term traffic flow prediction algorithm is proposed. This method uses 15 min traffic flow data of the first 16 sections as input and completes the data preprocessing operation through reconstruction, normalization, and rising dimension by working day factor; establishing the prediction model based on the long- and short-term memory network (LSTM) and inverse normalization; and proposing the GA-SVR model to optimize the prediction results, so as to realize the real-time high-precision prediction of traffic flow. The prediction experiment is carried out according to the charge data of a toll station in Xi’an, Shaanxi Province, from May 2018 to May 2019. The comparison and analysis of various algorithms show that the prediction algorithm proposed in this paper is 20% higher than the LSTM, GRU, CNN, SAE, ARIMA, and SVR, and the R2 can reach 0.982, the explanatory variance is 0.982, and the MAPE is 0.118. The proposed traffic flow prediction algorithm provides strong support for traffic managers to judge the state of the road network to control traffic and guide traffic flow.


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