Uncertainty Analysis Using Fuzzy Transformation Method: An Application in Power-Flow Studies

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-52
Author(s):  
Sayed Javad Aghili ◽  
Hadi Saghafi ◽  
Hamze Hajian-Hoseinabadi
Author(s):  
N. Samarinas ◽  
C. Evangelides

Abstract The aim of this paper is to implement the fuzzy logic theory in order to estimate the discharge for open channels, which is a well-known physical problem affected by many factors. The problem can be solved by Manning equation but the parameters present uncertainties as to their true-real values. Especially, the Manning n roughness coefficient, which is an empirically derived coefficient, presents quite high variation for different substrates. With the help of fuzzy logic and utilizing a fuzzy transformation method, it is possible to include the uncertainties of the problem in the calculation process. In this case, it is feasible to estimate the discharge, giving more emphasis on different uncertainty rates of the Manning roughness coefficient, while the rest of the parameters remain with constant or zero uncertainty level. By taking different a-cut levels, it was shown that the methodology gives realistic and reliable results, presenting with great accuracy the variations of the water discharge for trapezoidal open channels. This way, a possible underestimation or overestimation of the actual physical condition is avoided, by helping the engineers and researchers to obtain a more comprehensive view of the real physical conditions, thus making better management plans.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 444-450
Author(s):  
Atefeh Delnaz ◽  
Gholamreza Rakhshandehroo ◽  
Mohammad Reza Nikoo

Abstract In this paper, a fuzzy simulation–optimization model coupled with the genetic algorithm based on Boulton's equation is presented to estimate transmissibility (T), storage coefficient (S), specific yield (Sy) and leakage factor (Dt) of an unconfined aquifer. This model is capable of minimizing the deviation between observed and calculated drawdowns of pumping test data. To assess the applicability of the model, its results are compared with the graphically obtained solutions from Boulton's equation. To this end, real pumping test data obtained from an unconfined aquifer in Dayton, Ohio, are considered as the case problem to evaluate the efficacy of the model. In the fuzzy approach, pumping rate is considered as an uncertain variable. For evaluation of the model, several statistical error indices are utilized. Results show better matches for the model as evidenced by much smaller errors. As an example, mean absolute relative error for the proposed model and graphical Boulton's solution is 2.52% and 4.98%, respectively. It is concluded that the model is accurate and may replace the graphical Boulton's solution. T and Sy were found to be more sensitive to uncertainty in the pumping rate measurement, when compared with S and r/Dt.


2008 ◽  
Vol 159 (11) ◽  
pp. 1273-1291 ◽  
Author(s):  
U. Gauger ◽  
S. Turrin ◽  
M. Hanss ◽  
L. Gaul

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Zhang ◽  
Zhuzheng Shen ◽  
Wen Xu ◽  
Guofeng Wang ◽  
Biyi Yi

Due to the existence of nonlinear constraints, it is difficult to solve the power flow directly. This paper proposes a microgrid optimal scheduling strategy using second-order cone relaxation method to realize linear transformation, so as to minimize the total cost of the microgrid. Firstly, a microgrid system model of electricity-gas integrated energy is established, and the nonlinear constraints of branch power flow are transformed by the second-order cone relaxation method. Then, based on the microgrid model, the application conditions of the second-order cone relaxation transformation method are studied, and the optimal scheduling strategy with the total cost of microgrid as the objective function is proposed. In addition, in the case that the microgrid system does not meet the application conditions of second-order cone programming, the optimization problem is solved by increasing the line loss. Finally, an example is given to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Shahzad ◽  
Md. Rabiul Islam ◽  
Patrobers Simiyu ◽  
Nabeel Abdelhadi Mohamed Fahal ◽  
Muhammad Umair Shoukat ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 65-68
Author(s):  
Takashi Hisakado ◽  
Ryoya Kazaoka ◽  
Kazushi Fukae ◽  
Osami Wada
Keyword(s):  

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 167-169
Author(s):  
F.M.PATEL F.M.PATEL ◽  
◽  
N. B. PANCHAL N. B. PANCHAL

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