Association between morbidity among term newborns and low‐risk cesarean delivery rates

Author(s):  
Mark A Clapp ◽  
Jamie R Daw ◽  
Kaitlyn E James ◽  
Sarah E Little ◽  
Julian N Robinson ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina C. Burn ◽  
Ruofan Yao ◽  
Maria Diaz ◽  
Jordan Rossi ◽  
Stephen Contag

Abstract Objective: To determine rates of maternal and perinatal outcomes after induction of labor (IOL) at 39 weeks compared with expectant management.Methods: Cohort study of low risk women delivered between 39-42 weeks from 2015 to 2018. We excluded births with fetal abnormalities, previous cesarean, multiple pregnancies or those with spontaneous onset of labor (SOL) or indicated delivery at 39 weeks. Data was abstracted from National Center for Health Statistics birth files. Relative risks (aRR) were estimated with multivariable log-binomial regression. Main Outcome Measures: Maternal outcomes: chorioamnionitis (Triple I), blood transfusion, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission, uterine rupture, cesarean delivery and cesarean hysterectomy. Fetal and infant outcomes: fetal death, 5-minute Apgar ≤3, prolonged ventilation, seizures, ICU admission, and death within 28 days. Results: There were 15,900,956 births, with 8,540,063 after exclusions. The IOL group included 1,177,790 births excluding women with diabetes or hypertensive disease. There were 3,835,185 births after 39 weeks excluding women with diabetes or chronic hypertension. With IOL at 39 weeks the risk for blood transfusion (p-value < 0.01; aRR 0.78; 95% CI [0.75-0.82]), Triple I (p-value < 0.01; aRR 0.71; 95% CI [0.70-0.73]) and cesarean delivery (p-value <0.01; aRR 0.87; 95% CI [0.87-0.88]) were lower, albeit increased risk of cesarean hysterectomy (p-value <0.01; aRR 1.23; 95% CI [1.07-1.41]). Neonates had a lower risk for 5-minute Apgar ≤3 (p-value < 0.01; aRR 0.68; 95% CI [0.66-0.71]), prolonged ventilation (p-value < 0.01; aRR 0.84; 95% CI [0.81-0.87]), NICU admission (p-value < 0.01; aRR 0.86; 95% CI [0.85-0.87]), and neonatal seizures (p-value <0.01; aRR 0.85; 95% CI [0.76-0.96]). There was no difference in risk for neonatal death 0.99% (p-value 0.99; aRR 1.00; 95%CI [0.99-1.00]), or fetal death (p-value 0.78; aRR 1.0002; 95%CI [0.99-1.002]. This benefit was greater compared with each subsequent week.Conclusions: Induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation in a low risk cohort is associated a lower risk of cesarean delivery, transfusions and infection, as well as lower neonatal morbidity, without difference in fetal or neonatal death. This appears to be associated with increased risk for cesarean hysterectomy.


2004 ◽  
Vol 104 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey B. Gould ◽  
Beate Danielsen ◽  
Lisa M. Korst ◽  
Roderic Phibbs ◽  
Kathy Chance ◽  
...  

1984 ◽  
Vol 15 (01) ◽  
pp. 13-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Curzi-Dascalova ◽  
L. Christova-Guéorguiéva ◽  
F. Lebrun ◽  
G. Firtion

2016 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
J.C. Armstrong ◽  
K.B. Kozhimannil ◽  
P. McDermott ◽  
G.R. Saade ◽  
S.K. Srinivas

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangcan Sun ◽  
Bing Han ◽  
Fangfang Wu ◽  
Qianqian Shen ◽  
Minhong Shen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background A prediction algorithm to identify women with high risk of an emergency cesarean could help reduce morbidity and mortality associated with labor. The objective of the present study was to derive and validate a simple model to predict intrapartum cesarean delivery for low-risk nulliparous women in Chinese population.Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of low-risk nulliparous women with singleton, term, cephalic pregnancies. A predictive model for cesarean delivery was derived using univariate and multivariable logistic regression from the hospital of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. External validation of the prediction model was then performed using the data from Sihong county People’s Hospital. A new nomogram was established based on the development cohort to predict the cesarean. The ROC curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to assess the predictive performance.Results The intrapartum cesarean delivery rates in the development cohort and the external validation cohort were 8.79% (576/6,551) and 7.82% (599/7,657). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that maternal age, height, BMI, weight gained during pregnancy, gestational age, induction method, meconium-stained amniotic fluid and neonatal sex were independent factors affecting cesarean outcome. We had established two prediction models according to fetal sex was involved or not. The AUC was 0.782 and 0.774, respectively. The two prediction models were well-calibrated with Hosmer-Lemeshow test P=0.263 and P=0.817, respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that two models had clinical application value, and they provided greatest net benefit between threshold probabilities of 4% to 60%. And internal validation using Bootstrap method demonstrated similar discriminatory ability. We external validated the model involving fetal sex, for which the AUC was 0.775, while the slope and intercept of the calibration plot were 0.979 and 0.004, respectively. On the external validation set, another model had an AUC of 0.775 and a calibration slope of 1.007. The online web server was constructed based on the nomogram for convenient clinical use.Conclusions Both two models established by these factors have good prediction efficiency and high accuracy, which can provide the reference for clinicians to guide pregnant women to choose an appropriate delivery mode.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Card ◽  
Alessandra Fenizia ◽  
David Silver

1993 ◽  
Vol 32 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 183-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Eiselt ◽  
L. Curzi-Dascalova ◽  
J. Clairambault ◽  
F. Kauffmann ◽  
C. Médigue ◽  
...  

2022 ◽  
Vol Publish Ahead of Print ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijing Ouyang ◽  
Shanna Cox ◽  
Cynthia Ferre ◽  
Likang Xu ◽  
William M. Sappenfield ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangcan Sun ◽  
Bing Han ◽  
Fangfang Wu ◽  
Qianqian Shen ◽  
Minhong Shen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Cesarean delivery after failure of trial of labor is associated with adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. A prediction algorithm to identify women with high risk of an emergency cesarean could help reduce morbidity and mortality associated with labor. The objective of the present study was to derive and validate a simple model to predict cesarean delivery for low-risk nulliparous women in Chinese population.Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the low-risk nulliparous women with singleton cephalic full-term fetus delivered in two medical centers. After the clinical data of the women who delivered at the tertiary referral center (n=6 551) was collected and was used univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis, the prediction model was fitted. We performed external validation using data from nulliparous who delivered from another hospital(secondary referral center, n=7 657). A new nomogram was established based on the development cohort to predict the cesarean. The ROC curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to assess the predictive performance. Results: The cesarean delivery rates in the development cohort and the external validation cohort were 8.79% (576/6 551) and 7.82% (599/7 657). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that maternal age, height, BMI, weight gained during pregnancy, gestational age, induction method, meconium-stained amniotic fluid and neonatal sex were independent factors affecting cesarean outcome. Because sex of the fetuses were unknown until they born(China's Fertility Policy), we established two prediction models according to fetal sex was involved or not. The AUC was 0.782 and 0.774, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that these two models fitted well. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the models were clinically useful. And internal validation using Bootstrap method showed that these prediction models perform well. On the external validation set, the AUC were 0.775 and 0.775, respectively. The calibration plots for the probability of cesarean showed a good correlation. The online web server was constructed based on the nomogram for convenient clinical use.Conclusions: Both two models established by these factors have good prediction efficiency and high accuracy, which can provide the reference for clinicians to guide pregnant women to choose an appropriate delivery mode.


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