INTEGRATING EMPIRICAL RAINFALL THRESHOLDS AND HYDROLOGIC MONITORING FOR DEVELOPING PRELIMINARY LANDSLIDE EARLY WARNING CRITERIA

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin B. Mirus ◽  
◽  
Joel B. Smith ◽  
Rex L. Baum
Landslides ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 1909-1919 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin B. Mirus ◽  
Rachel E. Becker ◽  
Rex L. Baum ◽  
Joel B. Smith

Author(s):  
Ascanio Rosi ◽  
Samuele Segoni ◽  
Vanessa Canavesi ◽  
Antonio Monni ◽  
Angela Gallucci ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 807-812 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuele Segoni ◽  
Ascanio Rosi ◽  
Daniela Lagomarsino ◽  
Riccardo Fanti ◽  
Nicola Casagli

Abstract. We communicate the results of a preliminary investigation aimed at improving a state-of-the-art RSLEWS (regional-scale landslide early warning system) based on rainfall thresholds by integrating mean soil moisture values averaged over the territorial units of the system. We tested two approaches. The simplest can be easily applied to improve other RSLEWS: it is based on a soil moisture threshold value under which rainfall thresholds are not used because landslides are not expected to occur. Another approach deeply modifies the original RSLEWS: thresholds based on antecedent rainfall accumulated over long periods are substituted with soil moisture thresholds. A back analysis demonstrated that both approaches consistently reduced false alarms, while the second approach reduced missed alarms as well.


Author(s):  
Elias E. Chikalamo ◽  
Olga C. Mavrouli ◽  
Janneke Ettema ◽  
Cees J. van Westen ◽  
Agus S. Muntohar ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierpaolo Distefano ◽  
David J. Peres ◽  
Pietro Scandura ◽  
Antonino Cancelliere

Abstract. In this communication we show how the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) can improve the performance of the rainfall thresholds for landslide early warning. Results for Sicily (Italy), show how performance of a traditional rainfall event duration and depth power law threshold, yielding a true skill statistic (TSS) of 0.50, can be improved by ANNs (TSS = 0.59). Then we show how ANNs allow to easily add other variables, like peak rainfall intensity, with a further performance improvement (TSS = 0.64). This may stimulate more research on the use of this powerful tool for deriving landslide early warning thresholds.


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