Abstract P4-09-13: A prognostic predictive model based on the correlation of standard clinicopathologic characteristics with oncotype Dx 21-gene recurrence score for node-negative and ER positive breast cancer

Author(s):  
MR Mankbadi ◽  
Y Luo ◽  
M Yasin ◽  
B Ben Khallouq ◽  
R Moroose
2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (22) ◽  
pp. 2783-2790 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mitch Dowsett ◽  
Ivana Sestak ◽  
Elena Lopez-Knowles ◽  
Kalvinder Sidhu ◽  
Anita K. Dunbier ◽  
...  

Purpose Risk of distant recurrence (DR) among women with estrogen receptor (ER) –positive early breast cancer is the major determinant of recommendations for or against chemotherapy. It is frequently estimated using the Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS). The PAM50 risk of recurrence (ROR) score provides an alternative approach, which also identifies intrinsic subtypes. Patients and Methods mRNA from 1,017 patients with ER-positive primary breast cancer treated with anastrozole or tamoxifen in the ATAC trial was assessed for ROR using the NanoString nCounter. Likelihood ratio (LR) tests and concordance indices (c indices) were used to assess the prognostic information provided beyond that of a clinical treatment score (CTS) by RS, ROR, or IHC4, an index of DR risk derived from immunohistochemical assessment of ER, progesterone receptor, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), and Ki67. Results ROR added significant prognostic information beyond CTS in all patients (Δ LR-χ2 = 33.9; P < .001) and in all four subgroups: node negative, node positive, HER2 negative, and HER2 negative/node negative; more information was added by ROR than by RS. C indices in the HER2-negative/node-negative subgroup were 0.73, 0.76, and 0.78 for CTS, CTS plus RS, and CTS plus ROR, respectively. More patients were scored as high risk and fewer as intermediate risk by ROR than by RS. Relatively similar prognostic information was added by ROR and IHC4 in all patients but more by ROR in the HER2-negative/node-negative group. Conclusion ROR provides more prognostic information in endocrine-treated patients with ER-positive, node-negative disease than RS, with better differentiation of intermediate- and higher-risk groups.


2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (10) ◽  
pp. 1677-1683 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eleftherios P. Mamounas ◽  
Gong Tang ◽  
Bernard Fisher ◽  
Soonmyung Paik ◽  
Steven Shak ◽  
...  

Purpose The 21-gene OncotypeDX recurrence score (RS) assay quantifies the risk of distant recurrence in tamoxifen-treated patients with node-negative, estrogen receptor (ER)–positive breast cancer. We investigated the association between RS and risk for locoregional recurrence (LRR) in patients with node-negative, ER-positive breast cancer from two National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) trials (NSABP B-14 and B-20). Patients and Methods RS was available for 895 tamoxifen-treated patients (from both trials), 355 placebo-treated patients (from B-14), and 424 chemotherapy plus tamoxifen-treated patients (from B-20). The primary end point was time to first LRR. Distant metastases, second primary cancers, and deaths before LRR were censored. Results In tamoxifen-treated patients, LRR was significantly associated with RS risk groups (P < .001). The 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimate of LRR was 4.% (95% CI, 2.3% to 6.3%) for patients with a low RS (< 18), 7.2% (95% CI, 3.4% to 11.0%) for those with intermediate RS (18-30), and 15.8% (95% CI, 10.4% to 21.2%) for those with a high RS (> 30). There were also significant associations between RS and LRR in placebo-treated patients from B-14 (P = .022) and in chemotherapy plus tamoxifen–treated patients from B-20 (P = .028). In multivariate analysis, RS was an independent significant predictor of LRR along with age and type of initial treatment. Conclusion Similar to the association between RS and risk for distant recurrence, a significant association exists between RS and risk for LRR. This information has biologic consequences and potential clinical implications relative to locoregional therapy decisions for patients with node-negative and ER-positive breast cancer.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 598-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ciara Marie Kelly ◽  
Rose Beamish ◽  
John McCaffrey ◽  
Martina SMITH ◽  
John Crown ◽  
...  

598 Background: Treatment planning for patients with node negative, ER-positive, HER-2 negative breast cancer often incorporates the use of prognostic and predictive tools like Oncotype DX. Prior to the availabilty of Oncotype DX, clinicopathologic factors such as age, nodal status, tumour size and grade were used to determine risk of recurrence (ROR). RSPC represents a validated formal integration of oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) and clinicopathologic factors that further refines prognostic accuracy. RSPC does not improve the prediction of likelihood of chemotherapy benefit. The objective of this study was to compare distant recurrence risk assessment by RS and RSPC. Methods: We included patients with node negative, ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer who had Oncotype DX testing routinely or on clinical trial. We retrospectively reviewed patient charts and extracted clinicopathological and RS data. We calculated the RSPC using the RSPC educational tool. A comparative analysis was performed looking at the statification of patients into low (LR), intermediate (IR) and high (HR) ROR groups by RS and RSPC. The cut offs for low, intermediate and high risk by the RSPC were set to less than 12%, 12-20% and more than 20% risk of distant recurrence at 10yrs, corresponding to the risks of recurrence associated with the RS categories. Results: We identified 658 patients from 5 academic hospitals in Ireland and the US. Oncotype DX RS classified the following proportions of patients into three risk groups for distant recurrence: LR, n=334 (50.5%), IR, n=259 (39.4%), HR, n=67 (10.1%). RSPC classified the following proportion of patients into the three risk groups for recurrence: LR, n= 455 (69.1%), IR, n=110 (16.7%), HR, n=93 (14.1%). RSPC reclassified 72.6% (n=188) of the IR group (59.1% (n=153) from IR to LR and 13.5% (n=35) from IR to HR). RPSC reclassified 10.5% (n=35) of the LR group (8.1% (n=27) from LR to IR, and 2.4% (n=8) from LR to HR). RSPC reclassified 25.3% (n=17) of the HR group (17.9% (n=12) from HR to IR, and 7.4% (n=5) from HR to LR). Conclusions: RSPC reclassified 240 patients (36.5%) and was most helpful reassigning the IR group.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (33) ◽  
pp. 4365-4372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gong Tang ◽  
Jack Cuzick ◽  
Joseph P. Costantino ◽  
Mitch Dowsett ◽  
John F. Forbes ◽  
...  

Purpose The 21-gene breast cancer assay recurrence score (RS) is widely used for assessing recurrence risk and predicting chemotherapy benefit in patients with estrogen receptor (ER) –positive breast cancer. Pathologic and clinical factors such as tumor size, grade, and patient age also provide independent prognostic utility. We developed a formal integration of these measures and evaluated its prognostic and predictive value. Patients and Methods From the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel (NSABP) B-14 and translational research cohort of the Arimidex, Tamoxifen Alone or in Combination (TransATAC) studies, we included patients who received hormonal monotherapy, had ER-positive tumors, and RS and traditional clinicopathologic factors assessed (647 and 1,088, respectively). Individual patient risk assessments from separate Cox models were combined using meta-analysis to form an RS-pathology-clinical (RSPC) assessment of distant recurrence risk. Risk assessments by RS and RSPC were compared in node-negative (N0) patients. RSPC was compared with RS for predicting chemotherapy benefit in NSABP B-20. Results RSPC had significantly more prognostic value for distant recurrence than did RS (P < .001) and showed better separation of risk in the study population. RSPC classified fewer patients as intermediate risk (17.8% v 26.7%, P < .001) and more patients as lower risk (63.8% v 54.2%, P < .001) than did RS among 1,444 N0 ER-positive patients. In B-20, the interaction of RSPC with chemotherapy was not statistically significant (P = .10), in contrast to the previously reported significant interaction of RS with chemotherapy (P = .037). Conclusion RSPC refines the assessment of distant recurrence risk and reduces the number of patients classified as intermediate risk. Adding clinicopathologic measures did not seem to enhance the value of RS alone nor the individual biology RS identifies in predicting chemotherapy benefit.


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