scholarly journals Short-term traffic flow prediction model using particle swarm optimization–based combined kernel function-least squares support vector machine combined with chaos theory

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 168781401666465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Shang ◽  
Ciyun Lin ◽  
Zhaosheng Yang ◽  
Qichun Bing ◽  
Xiyang Zhou
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Fengkai Liu ◽  
Xingmin Ma ◽  
Xingshuo An ◽  
Guangnan Liang

Urban traffic flow prediction has always been an important realm for smart city build-up. With the development of edge computing technology in recent years, the network edge nodes of smart cities are able to collect and process various types of urban traffic data in real time, which leads to the possibility of deploying intelligent traffic prediction technology with real-time analysis and timely feedback on the edge. In view of the strong nonlinear characteristics of urban traffic flow, multiple dynamic and static influencing factors involved, and increasing difficulty of short-term traffic flow prediction in a metropolitan area, this paper proposes an urban traffic flow prediction model based on chaotic particle swarm optimization algorithm-smooth support vector machine (CPSO/SSVM). The prediction model has built a new second-order smooth function to achieve better approximation and regression effects and has further improved the computational efficiency of the smooth support vector machine algorithm through chaotic particle swarm optimization. Simulation experiment results show that this model can accurately predict urban traffic flow.


Congestion is the primary issue related to traffic flow. Avoiding congestion after getting into is not possible. So the only way is to make the informed decision by knowing the traffic situation in advance. This can be achieved with the help of traffic flow prediction. In the proposed work, short term traffic flow prediction is performed using support vector machine in combination with rough set. Traffic data used for analysis is collected from three adjacent intersections of Nagpur city and traffic flow is predicted at downstream junction. The work has attempted to study the effect of aggregation intervals and past samples on the prediction performance using MSE threshold variation. Rough set is used as a post processor to validate the prediction result. Accurate and timely prediction can provide reliability for optimized traffic control and guidance.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ueda ◽  
S. Abe ◽  
Z. Shen

Abstract In order to improve the accuracy of short-time traffic flow prediction, an improved LSSVM-based short-time traffic flow prediction model is proposed. To address the problem that the traditional hybrid frog-jumping algorithm (SFLA) easily falls into local optimum, an improved hybrid frog-jumping algorithm (ISFLA) based on a new local update strategy is proposed, which is combined with the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) to improve the prediction capability of LSSVM by using this algorithm to optimize the key parameters of LSSVM. The model and algorithm are simulated and analyzed with examples to prove the feasibility of the model and the effectiveness of the algorithm.


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