Exchange Rate Overshooting in Iran

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 38-43
Author(s):  
Ali Haghighat ◽  
Tahereh Shojaei

Author(s):  
Michele Cavallo ◽  
Kate Kisselev ◽  
Fabrizio Perri ◽  
Nouriel Roubini




2007 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soyoung Kim ◽  
Sunghyun Henry Kim




1984 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 425-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAGDEEP S. BHANDARI




2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (60) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Culiuc

The consequences of large depreciations on economic activity depend on the relative strength of the contractionary balance sheet and expansionary expenditure switching effects. However, the two operate over different time horizons: the balance sheet effect hits almost immediately, while expenditure switching is delayed by nominal rigidities and other frictions. The paper hypothesizes that the overshooting phase—observed early in the depreciation episode and driven by the balance sheet effect—is largely irrelevant for expenditure switching, which is more closely aligned with ex-post equilibrium depreciation. Given this, larger real exchange rate overshooting should signal a relatively stronger balance sheet effect. Empirical findings support this hypothesis: (i) overshooting is driven by factors associated with the balance sheet effect (high external debt, low reserves, low trade openness), (ii) overshooting-based measures of the balance sheet effect foreshadow post-depreciation output losses, and (iii) the balance sheet effect is strongest early on, while expenditure switching strengthens over the medium term.



2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-160
Author(s):  
Wajiha Haq Haq ◽  
Iftikhar Hussain Adil

Exchange rate behaviour does not follow very obvious and predicted pattern. Many attempts have been made to predict its behaviour as much as possible. This research re-examines the Dornbusch’s model of exchange rate overshooting caused by price rigidities. Dornbusch’s assumption of full employment in economy has been violated in this research which creates the possibility of exchange rate undershooting. In response to positive monetary shock, interest rate decreases and exchange rate undershoots its long run equilibrium. This research explains the dynamics of anti-intuitive exchange rate undershooting. Apart from theoretical formations of exchange rate undershooting, this research also analyses Pakistani data for exchange rate undershooting or overshooting in response to increase in money supply. Quarterly data of twenty three years for exchange rate, nominal interest rate, price, real output and money have been taken and vector autoregressive technique has been used. Evidence of exchange rate undershooting in response to positive money supply shock was found. It also gives an important insight into policy making by identifying some probable behaviour of exchange rate.



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