Corporate Payout Policy and Credit Risk: Evidence from Credit Default Swap Markets

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengzhu Sun ◽  
Shujing Wang ◽  
Chu Zhang

We examine whether and how payout policy affects credit risk using evidence from the credit default swap (CDS) market. CDS spreads increase substantially in response to announcements of dividend cuts, especially during recessions and among firms experiencing financial distress. CDS spreads also react more strongly to permanent and less anticipated dividend cuts. The size of the CDS reaction is more pronounced for financial firms, which are inherently more opaque. In contrast, CDS spreads react weakly to dividend raises and share repurchases. The results show that the information effect of dividend changes dominates the wealth-transfer effect. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance.

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 5-45
Author(s):  
Sheen Liu ◽  
Chunchi Wu ◽  
Chung-Ying Yeh ◽  
Woongsun Yoo

Author(s):  
Fatma Sezer Dural

The credit default swap market has experienced an exponential growth in recent decades. Though the fırst credit default swap contract was negotiated in the mid-1990s, the market has enjoyed a surge of popularity beginning in 2003. By the end of June 2013, the outstanding amount reached 24.3 trillion dollars. It is mostly used to transfer or to hedge credit risk. Concurrently with the global credit crisis, several shortcomings in CDS markets have appeared. One of the obvious questions is whether they affect the stability of financial markets. In this context after broader exhibition of credit default swaps market, speculative use of CDS, inception of central counterparty, and transparency of CDS market is handled. As a conclusion, it is true that the CDS market still has some weaknesses, but it is no more prone to be destabilizing than other financial instruments. This is shown in this chapter.


2012 ◽  
Vol 103 (2) ◽  
pp. 280-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Navneet Arora ◽  
Priyank Gandhi ◽  
Francis A. Longstaff

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 466-488
Author(s):  
Ioannis A. Tampakoudis ◽  
Andrius Tamošiūnas ◽  
Demetres N. Subeniotis ◽  
Ioannis G. Kroustalis

This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond spreads of the highly indebted southern European countries, considering an extensive time sample from the period before the global financial crisis to the latest developments of the sovereign indebtedness in the euro area. We employ an integrated price discovery methodology on a rolling sample, with the intention to shed light on whether the CDS spreads can trigger rises in bond spreads, and the relative efficiency of credit risk pricing in the CDS and bond markets. In addition, we attempt to depict the evolution of the price discovery process regarding the direction of influence from one market to the other. The rolling window analysis verifies that the price discovery process evolves over time, presenting frequent alternations concerning the leading market. We find that during periods of economic turbulence the CDS market leads the bond market in price discovery, incorporating the new information about sovereign credit risk faster and more efficiently than the bond market does. This regularity should be seriously considered by private and public participants as they make investment and funding decisions. Therefore, the motivation of our paper is to identify the dominant market in terms of price discovery during a period of economic turmoil and, thus, to provide insights for decision making to investment bodies and central governments.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao

This article presents a new model for valuing financial contracts subject to credit risk and collateralization. Examples include the valuation of a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by the trilateral credit risk of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset pricing. In fact, correlated default risk is one of the most pervasive threats in financial markets. We also show that a fully collateralized CDS is not equivalent to a risk-free one. In other words, full collateralization cannot eliminate counterparty risk completely in the CDS market.


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