Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions with Options and CDS

We propose a method to extract the risk-neutral distribution of firm-specific stock returns using both options and credit default swaps (CDS). Options and CDS provide information about the central part and the left tail of the distribution, respectively. Taken together, but not in isolation, options and CDS span the intermediate part of the distribution, which is driven by exposure to the risk of large, but not extreme, returns. Through a series of asset-pricing tests, we show that this intermediate-return risk carries a premium, particularly at times of heightened market stress. This paper was accepted by David Simchi-Levi, finance.

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Credit Default Swaps and Risk-Neutral Default Probabilities

Credit Risk Modeling Using Excel and VBA with DVD ◽

10.1002/9781119202219.ch10 ◽

2015 ◽

pp. 219-247

Keyword(s):

Credit Default Swaps ◽

Credit Default ◽

Risk Neutral

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xVA: DEFINITION, EVALUATION AND RISK MANAGEMENT

International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance ◽

10.1142/s0219024920500065 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 23 (01) ◽

pp. 2050006

Author(s):

LIXIN WU ◽

DAWEI ZHANG

Keyword(s):

Risk Management ◽

Interest Rate ◽

Liquidity Risk ◽

Credit Default Swaps ◽

Interest Rate Swap ◽

Funding Liquidity ◽

Credit Default ◽

Risk Neutral ◽

Default Risks ◽

Rate Swap

xVA is a collection of valuation adjustments made to the classical risk-neutral valuation of a derivative or derivatives portfolio for pricing or for accounting purposes, and it has been a matter of debate and controversy. This paper is intended to clarify the notion of xVA as well as the usage of the xVA items in pricing, accounting or risk management. Based on bilateral replication pricing using shares and credit default swaps, we attribute the P&L of a derivatives trade into the compensation for counterparty default risks and the costs of funding. The expected present values of the compensation and the funding costs under the risk-neutral measure are defined to be the bilateral CVA and FVA, respectively. The latter further breaks down into FCA, MVA, ColVA and KVA. We show that the market funding liquidity risk, but not any idiosyncratic funding risks, can be bilaterally priced into a derivative trade, without causing price asymmetry between the counterparties. We call for the adoption of VaR or CVaR methodologies for managing funding risks. The pricing of xVA of an interest-rate swap is presented.

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Freedom Indices and Capital Asset Pricing Model: Some Malaysian Evidence

International Journal of Management, Finance and Accounting ◽

10.33093/ijomfa.2020.1.1.1 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 1 (1) ◽

pp. 1-21

Author(s):

Ying Tay Lee ◽

Devinaga Rasiah ◽

Ming Ming Lai

Keyword(s):

Human Rights ◽

Asset Pricing ◽

Stock Returns ◽

Firm Size ◽

Explanatory Power ◽

Least Square ◽

Press Freedom ◽

Capital Asset Pricing ◽

Capital Asset ◽

Cross Sectional

Human rights and fundamental freedoms such as economic, political, and press freedoms vary widely from country to country. It creates opportunity and risk in investment decisions. Thus, this study is carried out to examine if the explanatory power of the model for capital asset pricing could be improved when these human rights movement indices are included in the model. The sample for this study comprises of 495 stocks listed in Bursa Malaysia, covering the sampling period from 2003 to 2013. The model applied in this study employed the pooled ordinary least square regression estimation. In addition, the robustness of the model is tested by using firm size as a controlled variable. The findings show that market beta as well as the economic and press freedom indices could explain the cross-sectional stock returns of the Malaysian stock market. By controlling the firm size, it adds marginally to the explanation of the extended CAP model which incorporated economic, political, and press freedom indices.

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