Examining Local Transferability of Predictive Species Distribution Models for Invasive Plants: An Example with Cogongrass (Imperata cylindrica)

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 390-401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary N. Ervin ◽  
D. Christopher Holly
Keyword(s):  
Invasive Species ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Imperata Cylindrica ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Distribution Data ◽  
Strongly Correlated ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Tree Canopy Cover

AbstractSpecies distribution modeling is a tool that is gaining widespread use in the projection of future distributions of invasive species and has important potential as a tool for monitoring invasive species spread. However, the transferability of models from one area to another has been inadequately investigated. This study aimed to determine the degree to which species distribution models (SDMs) for cogongrass, developed with distribution data from Mississippi (USA), could be applied to a similar area in neighboring Alabama. Cogongrass distribution data collected in Mississippi were used to train an SDM that was then tested for accuracy and transferability with cogongrass distribution data collected by a forest management company in Alabama. Analyses indicated the SDM had a relatively high predictive ability within the region of the training data but had poor transferability to the Alabama data. Analysis of the Alabama data, via independent SDM development, indicated that predicted cogongrass distribution in Alabama was more strongly correlated with soil variables than was the case in Mississippi, where the SDM was most strongly correlated with tree canopy cover. Results suggest that model transferability is influenced strongly by (1) data collection methods, (2) landscape context of the survey data, and (3) variations in qualitative aspects of environmental data used in model development.

scholarly journals A Robust Prediction Model for Species Distribution Using Bagging Ensembles with Deep Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1495
Author(s):  
Jehyeok Rew ◽  
Yongjang Cho ◽  
Eenjun Hwang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Species Distribution Model ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Robust Prediction

Species distribution models have been used for various purposes, such as conserving species, discovering potential habitats, and obtaining evolutionary insights by predicting species occurrence. Many statistical and machine-learning-based approaches have been proposed to construct effective species distribution models, but with limited success due to spatial biases in presences and imbalanced presence-absences. We propose a novel species distribution model to address these problems based on bootstrap aggregating (bagging) ensembles of deep neural networks (DNNs). We first generate bootstraps considering presence-absence data on spatial balance to alleviate the bias problem. Then we construct DNNs using environmental data from presence and absence locations, and finally combine these into an ensemble model using three voting methods to improve prediction accuracy. Extensive experiments verified the proposed model’s effectiveness for species in South Korea using crowdsourced observations that have spatial biases. The proposed model achieved more accurate and robust prediction results than the current best practice models.

Very high resolution environmental predictors in species distribution models

2013 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Nicolas Pradervand ◽  
Anne Dubuis ◽  
Loïc Pellissier ◽  
Antoine Guisan ◽  
Christophe Randin
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Fine Scale ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Model Quality ◽  
Vegetation Height ◽  
Very High

Recent advances in remote sensing technologies have facilitated the generation of very high resolution (VHR) environmental data. Exploratory studies suggested that, if used in species distribution models (SDMs), these data should enable modelling species’ micro-habitats and allow improving predictions for fine-scale biodiversity management. In the present study, we tested the influence, in SDMs, of predictors derived from a VHR digital elevation model (DEM) by comparing the predictive power of models for 239 plant species and their assemblages fitted at six different resolutions in the Swiss Alps. We also tested whether changes of the model quality for a species is related to its functional and ecological characteristics. Refining the resolution only contributed to slight improvement of the models for more than half of the examined species, with the best results obtained at 5 m, but no significant improvement was observed, on average, across all species. Contrary to our expectations, we could not consistently correlate the changes in model performance with species characteristics such as vegetation height. Temperature, the most important variable in the SDMs across the different resolutions, did not contribute any substantial improvement. Our results suggest that improving resolution of topographic data only is not sufficient to improve SDM predictions – and therefore local management – compared to previously used resolutions (here 25 and 100 m). More effort should be dedicated now to conduct finer-scale in-situ environmental measurements (e.g. for temperature, moisture, snow) to obtain improved environmental measurements for fine-scale species mapping and management.

Invasive species distribution models - how violating the equilibrium assumption can create new insights

2012 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 1126-1136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laure Gallien ◽  
Rolland Douzet ◽  
Steve Pratte ◽  
Niklaus E. Zimmermann ◽  
Wilfried Thuiller
Keyword(s):  
Invasive Species ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Distribution Models

scholarly journals A Lack of “Environmental Earth Data” at the Microhabitat Scale Impacts Efforts to Control Invasive Arthropods That Vector Pathogens

Data ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily L. Pascoe ◽  
Sajid Pareeth ◽  
Duccio Rocchini ◽  
Matteo Marcantonio
Keyword(s):  
Invasive Species ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Disease Outbreaks ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Data Gaps ◽  
Open Access Database ◽  
Temporal And Spatial

We currently live in an era of major global change that has led to the introduction and range expansion of numerous invasive species worldwide. In addition to the ecological and economic consequences associated with most invasive species, invasive arthropods that vector pathogens (IAVPs) to humans and animals pose substantial health risks. Species distribution models that are informed using environmental Earth data are frequently employed to predict the distribution of invasive species, and to advise targeted mitigation strategies. However, there are currently substantial mismatches in the temporal and spatial resolution of these data and the environmental contexts which affect IAVPs. Consequently, targeted actions to control invasive species or to prepare the population for possible disease outbreaks may lack efficacy. Here, we identify and discuss how the currently available environmental Earth data are lacking with respect to their applications in species distribution modeling, particularly when predicting the potential distribution of IAVPs at meaningful space-time scales. For example, we examine the issues related to interpolation of weather station data and the lack of microclimatic data relevant to the environment experienced by IAVPs. In addition, we suggest how these data gaps can be filled, including through the possible development of a dedicated open access database, where data from both remotely- and proximally-sensed sources can be stored, shared, and accessed.

scholarly journals Suitability of Laurentian Great Lakes for invasive species based on global species distribution models and local habitat

Ecosphere ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. e01883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew M. Kramer ◽  
Gust Annis ◽  
Marion E. Wittmann ◽  
William L. Chadderton ◽  
Edward S. Rutherford ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Invasive Species ◽  
Great Lakes ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Species Distribution Models ◽  
Laurentian Great Lakes ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Local Habitat
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