scholarly journals Systemic Risk of the Global Banking System - An Agent-Based Network Model Approach

2014 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomáš Klinger ◽  
Petr Teplý
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (102) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Ziya Gorpe ◽  
Giovanni Covi ◽  
Christoffer Kok

This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks’ large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Jingqian Tian ◽  
Chao Wang ◽  
Xiaoxing Liu ◽  
Longmiao Qiu

An agent-based model is proposed, constructing an evolutionary banking system, where interbank loans and investment strategies are, respectively, determined by liquidity shortage and utility maximization. The causes of systemic risk are then explored based on the evolutionary banking system, which is calibrated by a sample from China. The regulatory interventions indicate the positive effects of increased investment assets, while the negative but inappreciable effects of increased interbank counterparties on contagion risks decrease. This observation hints at the possibility of promoting systemic stability by incentivizing more diversifications in investment assets instead of interbank counterparties. The results also demonstrate the advantages of prudential liquidity requirements, interbank liquidity facilities, and monetary policies from the central bank in promoting banking system stability.


Author(s):  
Sheri Markose ◽  
Simone Giansante ◽  
Nicolas A. Eterovic ◽  
Mateusz Gatkowski

AbstractWe analyse systemic risk in the core global banking system using a new network-based spectral eigen-pair method, which treats network failure as a dynamical system stability problem. This is compared with market price-based Systemic Risk Indexes, viz. Marginal Expected Shortfall, Delta Conditional Value-at-Risk, and Conditional Capital Shortfall Measure of Systemic Risk in a cross-border setting. Unlike paradoxical market price based risk measures, which underestimate risk during periods of asset price booms, the eigen-pair method based on bilateral balance sheet data gives early-warning of instability in terms of the tipping point that is analogous to the R number in epidemic models. For this regulatory capital thresholds are used. Furthermore, network centrality measures identify systemically important and vulnerable banking systems. Market price-based SRIs are contemporaneous with the crisis and they are found to covary with risk measures like VaR and betas.


Author(s):  
Matheus M.G. Correia ◽  
João V.M. Barboza ◽  
Aquino L. Espíndola

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Geoffrey Goodell ◽  
Hazem Danny Al-Nakib ◽  
Paolo Tasca

In recent years, electronic retail payment mechanisms, especially e-commerce and card payments at the point of sale, have increasingly replaced cash in many developed countries. As a result, societies are losing a critical public retail payment option, and retail consumers are losing important rights associated with using cash. To address this concern, we propose an approach to digital currency that would allow people without banking relationships to transact electronically and privately, including both e-commerce purchases and point-of-sale purchases that are required to be cashless. Our proposal introduces a government-backed, privately-operated digital currency infrastructure to ensure that every transaction is registered by a bank or money services business, and it relies upon non-custodial wallets backed by privacy-enhancing technology, such as blind signatures or zero-knowledge proofs, to ensure that transaction counterparties are not revealed. Our approach to digital currency can also facilitate more efficient and transparent clearing, settlement, and management of systemic risk. We argue that our system can restore and preserve the salient features of cash, including privacy, owner-custodianship, fungibility, and accessibility, while also preserving fractional reserve banking and the existing two-tiered banking system. We also show that it is possible to introduce regulation of digital currency transactions involving non-custodial wallets that unconditionally protect the privacy of end-users.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-656 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Xu ◽  
Francis In ◽  
Catherine Forbes ◽  
Inchang Hwang
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