PREDICTING ANNUAL STOCK MARKET RETURNS WITH MARKET VARIABLES

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 33-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandip Mukherji
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Tzu-Yi Yang ◽  
Phan Van Hung ◽  
Chia-Jui Chang ◽  
Nguyen Phuc Nguyen

This paper estimates the smooth transition autoregressive model with exogenous variables to evaluate the effects of stock market returns on the exchange-traded funds’ (ETFs) returns in China with reserve requirement ratio (RRR) from monetary policy as a transition variable. The sample used in this study lasts from March 4, 2005 to June 30, 2017. The empirical result points out that there is the effect of RRR value on the relationship between stock market returns and ETF return. Moreover, these effects are variable depending on the conversion and its changes over time in different variations of threshold intervals. Lastly, the larger the change of China’s stock market variables’ lag period, the smaller the impacts on Chinese ETF return.


GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Dhananjaya Kadanda ◽  
Krishna Raj

The present article attempts to understand the relationship between foreign portfolio investment (FPI), domestic institutional investors (DIIs), and stock market returns in India using high frequency data. The study analyses the trading strategies of FPIs, DIIs and its impact on the stock market return. We found that the trading strategies of FIIs and DIIs differ in Indian stock market. While FIIs follow positive feedback trading strategy, DIIs pursue the strategy of negative feedback trading which was more pronounced during the crisis. Further, there is negative relationship between FPI flows and DII flows. The results indicate the importance of developing strong domestic institutional investors to counteract the destabilising nature FIIs, particularly during turbulent times.


2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond Siu Yeung Chan ◽  
See Tin Tang ◽  
Roy F. Ying ◽  
Sun Wing Tam

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