Analysis of historical meteorological drought and flood hazards in the area of Shanghai City, China, in the context of climatic change

Episodes ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 182-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenghong Chen ◽  
Guifang Yang
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1082-1090 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akira Hasegawa ◽  
◽  
Maksym Gusyev ◽  
Yoichi Iwami ◽  

The standardized precipitation index (SPI) has been used to monitor and analyze meteorological droughts using long-term monthly precipitation from national meteorological and hydrological services on multiple timescales. Instead of evaluating climatic impacts with separately-computed SPI for present and future climates, we introduced the comparative SPI (cSPI) computed using target (future) datasets on the basis of a reference (present) dataset. The cSPI approach evaluates standardized precipitation change in one dataset for different periods and for different datasets in a common period. Using 12-month cSPI, we investigate the change in central conditions and in the probabilities of dry and wet conditions between present and future climates. Meteorological drought and flood hazards in Asia are examined with MRI-AGCM3.2S, a 20-km mesh global atmospheric model, time-slice experiments of the present (1979–2003) and future (2075–2099) with four different sea surface temperature patterns. As one result indicates, the median of the 12-month cSPI shifts to severely dry around the Mediterranean Sea to the Persian Gulf, and to extremely wet in the Tibetan Plateau, North and South India, and around the Yellow Sea. Therefore, we conclude that the cSPI approach is a useful way to characterize both future drought and flood hazards under climate change.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ran Zhai ◽  
Fulu Tao ◽  
Upmanu Lall ◽  
Bojie Fu ◽  
Joshua Elliott ◽  
...  

Eos ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Shultz

New research highlights differences in drought and flood hazards globally under 1.5�C versus 2�C temperature increases and estimates associated human and economic effects.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Indrajit Pal ◽  
Parameshwar Udmale ◽  
Sylvia Szabo ◽  
Malay Pramanik ◽  
Satya Venkata Sai Aditya Bharawaz Ganni

<p>Across the world, health and disaster managers face the challenge of responding to natural hazards such as cyclones, floods, and droughts while minimizing the impacts of Covid-19. The tropical cyclones and floods affect vulnerable communities and result in losses of life and damages. The drought situations can weaken the agricultural economy and local livelihoods. How these impacts could be amplified by the Covid-19, mainly during the monsoon season, is of great importance for informed-planning. The present study aims to assess exposure to hydro-meteorological hazards (tropical cyclones, floods, and droughts) in terms of the number of people affected, economic activities exposed, and how these hazards superimposed over the Covid-19 pandemic could impact the different phases of disaster risk management cycle. The study focuses on three deltas, namely, Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta spanning over India and Bangladesh, and Red River (RR) and Mekong River (MK) deltas in Vietnam.</p><p>Present research found that the GBM delta suffers from frequent cyclones and floods and less with coastal floods and droughts, whereas the MK delta suffers from riverine and coastal floods and droughts. The RR delta faces frequent tropical cyclones, riverine and coastal floods, and droughts. Populations living in Red delta (100%) exposed more to tropical cyclone as compared to GBM (2.22%) and the Mekong delta (0%) with 50-year return period (RP). Similarly, about 36.46 (0.28), 83.24 (47.23), and 72.76 (33.49) % population of the GBM, RR, and MK deltas are exposed to riverine (coastal) flood hazards with 10-year RP, respectively. During May-Aug 2020, a maximum of 0.76, 100, and 33.49 % population in a month was exposed to meteorological drought (SPI3 below -1) in the GBM, RR, and MK deltas, respectively.</p><p>The results include probabilistic exposure of urban area, cropland, livestock, and GDP to major hydro-meteorological hazards on a similar line. In the second part, the study explores the number of Covid-19 cases reported at the administrative level 2 and draws qualitative inferences on how tackling multi-hazards in the deltas could have become more challenging during the ongoing pandemic and vice versa.  The study recommends that the pandemic has resulted in an urgent need to incorporate health emergency disasters while designing hydro-meteorological disaster management plans.</p>


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Ayugi ◽  
Guirong Tan ◽  
Rouyun Niu ◽  
Zeyao Dong ◽  
Moses Ojara ◽  
...  

This work examines drought and flood events over Kenya from 1981 to 2016 using the Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). The spatiotemporal analysis of dry and wet events was conducted for 3 and 12 months. Extreme drought incidences were observed in the years 1987, 2000, 2006, and 2009 for SPEI-3, whilst the SPEI-12 demonstrated the manifestation of drought during the years 2000 and 2006. The SPEI showed that the wettest periods, 1997 and 1998, coincided with the El Nino event for both time steps. SPEI-3 showed a reduction in moderate drought events, while severe and extreme cases were on the increase tendencies towards the end of the twentieth century. Conversely, SPEI-12 depicted an overall increase in severe drought occurrence over the study location with ab observed intensity of −1.54 and a cumulative frequency of 64 months during the study period. Wet events showed an upward trend in the western and central highlands, while the rest of the regions showed an increase in dry events during the study period. Moreover, moderate dry/wet events predominated, whilst extreme events occurred least frequently across all grid cells. It is apparent that the study area experienced mild extreme dry events in both categories, although moderately severe dry events dominated most parts of the study area. A high intensity and frequency of drought was noted in SPEI-3, while the least occurrences of extreme events were recorded in SPEI-12. Though drought event prevailed across the study area, there was evidence of extreme flood conditions over the recent decades. These findings form a good basis for next step of research that will look at the projection of droughts over the study area based on regional climate models.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Tabari ◽  
Parisa Hosseinzadehtalaei ◽  
Wim Thiery ◽  
Patrick Willems

Boreas ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 164-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiri Chlachula ◽  
Rob Kemp ◽  
Catherine Jessen ◽  
Adrian Palmer ◽  
Phillip Toms

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document