scholarly journals Order Book Dynamics with Liquidity Fluctuations: Limit Theorems and Large Deviations

Author(s):  
Helder Rojas ◽  
Anatoly Yambartsev ◽  
Artem Logachov

We propose a class of stochastic models for a dynamics of limit order book with different type of liquidities. Within this class of models we study the one where a spread decreases uniformly, belonging to the class of processes known as a population processes with uniform catastrophes. The law of large numbers (LLN), central limit theorem (CLT) and large deviations (LD) are proved for our model with uniform catastrophes. Our results allow us to satisfactorily explain the volatility and local trends in the prices, relevant empirical characteristics that are observed in this type of markets. Furthermore, it shows us how these local trends and volatility are determined by the typical values of the bid-ask spread. In addition, we use our model to show how large deviations occur in the spread and prices, such as those observed in flash crashes.

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (03) ◽  
pp. 699-712 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we propose a stochastic process, which is a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with Hawkes jumps. It can be seen as a generalization of the classical Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and the classical Hawkes process with exponential exciting function. Our model is a special case of the affine point processes. We obtain Laplace transforms and limit theorems, including the law of large numbers, central limit theorems, and large deviations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 363-369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lulu Fang ◽  
Min Wu

AbstractIn 1973, Williams [D. Williams, On Rényi's ‘record’ problem and Engel's series, Bull. London Math. Soc.5 (1973), 235–237] introduced two interesting discrete Markov processes, namely C-processes and A-processes, which are related to record times in statistics and Engel's series in number theory respectively. Moreover, he showed that these two processes share the same classical limit theorems, such as the law of large numbers, central limit theorem and law of the iterated logarithm. In this paper, we consider the large deviations for these two Markov processes, which indicate that there is a difference between C-processes and A-processes in the context of large deviations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 145-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Baradel ◽  
Bruno Bouchard ◽  
David Evangelista ◽  
Othmane Mounjid

We model the behavior of three agent classes acting dynamically in a limit order book of a financial asset. Namely, we consider market makers (MM), high-frequency trading (HFT) firms, and institutional brokers (IB). Given a prior dynamic of the order book, similar to the one considered in the Queue-Reactive models [12, 18, 19], the MM and the HFT define their trading strategy by optimizing the expected utility of terminal wealth, while the IB has a prescheduled task to sell or buy many shares of the considered asset. We derive the variational partial differential equations that characterize the value functions of the MM and HFT and explain how almost optimal control can be deduced from them. We then provide a first illustration of the interactions that can take place between these different market participants by simulating the dynamic of an order book in which each of them plays his own (optimal) strategy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Alexandre Aidov ◽  
Olesya Lobanova

Prior studies that examine the relation between market depth and bid–ask spread are often limited to the first level of the limit order book. However, the full limit order book provides important information beyond the first level about the depth and spread, which affects the trading decisions of market participants. This paper examines the intraday behavior of depth and spread in the five-deep limit order book and the relation between depth and spread in a futures market setting. A dummy-variables regression framework is employed and is estimated using the generalized method of moments (GMM). Results indicate an inverse U-shaped pattern for depth and an increasing pattern for spread. After controlling for known explanatory factors, an inverse relation between the limit order book depth and spread is documented. The inverse relation holds for depth and spread at individual levels in the limit order book as well. Results indicate that market participants actively manage both the price (spread) and quantity (depth) dimensions of liquidity along the five-deep limit order book.


2016 ◽  
Vol 02 (01) ◽  
pp. 1650004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Lakner ◽  
Josh Reed ◽  
Sasha Stoikov

We study the one-sided limit order book corresponding to limit sell orders and model it as a measure-valued process. Limit orders arrive to the book according to a Poisson process and are placed on the book according to a distribution which varies depending on the current best price. Market orders to buy periodically arrive to the book according to a second, independent Poisson process and remove from the book the order corresponding to the current best price. We consider the above described limit order book in a high frequency regime in which the rate of incoming limit and market orders is large and traders place their limit sell orders close to the current best price. Our first set of results provide weak limits for the unscaled price process and the properly scaled measure-valued limit order book process in the high frequency regime. In particular, we characterize the limiting measure-valued limit order book process as the solution to a measure-valued stochastic differential equation. We then provide an analysis of both the transient and long-run behavior of the limiting limit order book process.


2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 699-712 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we propose a stochastic process, which is a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with Hawkes jumps. It can be seen as a generalization of the classical Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and the classical Hawkes process with exponential exciting function. Our model is a special case of the affine point processes. We obtain Laplace transforms and limit theorems, including the law of large numbers, central limit theorems, and large deviations.


Risks ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Anatoliy Swishchuk ◽  
Aiden Huffman

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes. Specifically, we construct general compound Hawkes processes and investigate their properties in limit order books. With regard to these general compound Hawkes processes, we prove a Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and a Functional Central Limit Theorems (FCLT) for several specific variations. We apply several of these FCLTs to limit order books to study the link between price volatility and order flow, where the volatility in mid-price changes is expressed in terms of parameters describing the arrival rates and mid-price process.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document