Simple models in finance: a mathematical analysis of the probabilistic recognition heuristic

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-103
Author(s):  
Martín Egozcue ◽  
Luis Fuentes García ◽  
Konstantinos Katsikopoulos ◽  
Michael Smithson
2021 ◽  
pp. 743
Author(s):  
Lina Gozali ◽  
Felita Yulianti ◽  
Melynia Novita Pratama ◽  
Natalia Velony Putri ◽  
Poppy Fransiska ◽  
...  

It is important to maintain or increase company profits as a goal that the company must continuously achieve.  Businesses are usually activated in increasing company profits obtain and guide consumers and always dominate  the existing market. In the concept of sales, the emphasis is on the seller's needs, which means that the focus of  activities is to sell goods and services only. This old concept is implemented for products that are not favorites. In  this case, the seller's goal is to sell what they can produce rather than make the products and services that  customers want because it takes extra hard effort to obtain sales results intended to achieve the goal. The form  chosen during the implementation of Inquiry Learning and Problem Based Learning where students were trained in  almost 2 hours to understand business problems in mathematical calculations and there was training in answering  calculation and theory questions. Management ability is also based on mathematical analysis of the simple models  of the problems. From data collection and data processing, conclusions can be drawn to understand the pattern of  consumer demand. This action helps startups understand the pattern of consumer demand in fulfilling customer  satisfaction.Penting untuk bisa mempertahankan atau meningkatkan laba perusahaan sebagai tujuan yang harus terus dicapai  oleh perusahaan. Usaha yang biasanya digiatkan dalam peningkatan keuntungan perusahaan yaitu memperoleh  dan membimbing konsumen serta kemampuan untuk selalu menguasai pasar yang ada. Dalam konsep penjualan  lebih ditekankan untuk kebutuhan penjual yang berarti fokus kegiatas adalah untuk menjual barang dan jasa  semata. Konsep lama ini dilaksanakan untuk produk-produk yang tidak favorit. Dalam kasus ini, tujuan penjual  hanya untuk menjual apa yang mampu mereka produksi daripada mampu membuat produk dan jasa yang benar benar diinginkan oleh pelanggan. Karena itu dibutuhkan usaha extra keras untuk memperoleh hasil penjualan yang  dimaksudkan untuk mencapai tujuan. Bentuk yang dipilih pada saat pelaksanaan Inquiry Learning dan Problem  Based Learning dimana para siswa peserta didik dilatih dalam kurun waktu hampir 2 jam untuk mengerti  problematika bisnis dalam perhitungan matematika dan ada pelatihan mejawab soal-soal perhitungan dan teori.  Kemampuan manajemen sebenarnya juga dilandasi oleh analisa matematis dari model atau problematika yang  sederhana. Dari pengumpulan data dan pengolahan data dapat diambil kesimpulan untuk mengerti pola atau  pattern dari permintaan konsumen yang terjadi. Hal ini membantu para startup mengerti pola dari permintaan  konsumen dalam pemenuhan kepuasan konsumen tersebut. 


1967 ◽  
Vol 31 ◽  
pp. 313-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. C. Lin ◽  
F. H. Shu

Density waves in the nature of those proposed by B. Lindblad are described by detailed mathematical analysis of collective modes in a disk-like stellar system. The treatment is centered around a hypothesis of quasi-stationary spiral structure. We examine (a) the mechanism for the maintenance of this spiral pattern, and (b) its consequences on the observable features of the galaxy.


Author(s):  
Tim Oliver ◽  
Akira Ishihara ◽  
Ken Jacobsen ◽  
Micah Dembo

In order to better understand the distribution of cell traction forces generated by rapidly locomoting cells, we have applied a mathematical analysis to our modified silicone rubber traction assay, based on the plane stress Green’s function of linear elasticity. To achieve this, we made crosslinked silicone rubber films into which we incorporated many more latex beads than previously possible (Figs. 1 and 6), using a modified airbrush. These films could be deformed by fish keratocytes, were virtually drift-free, and showed better than a 90% elastic recovery to micromanipulation (data not shown). Video images of cells locomoting on these films were recorded. From a pair of images representing the undisturbed and stressed states of the film, we recorded the cell’s outline and the associated displacements of bead centroids using Image-1 (Fig. 1). Next, using our own software, a mesh of quadrilaterals was plotted (Fig. 2) to represent the cell outline and to superimpose on the outline a traction density distribution. The net displacement of each bead in the film was calculated from centroid data and displayed with the mesh outline (Fig. 3).


Author(s):  
Benjamin E. Hilbig ◽  
Rüdiger F. Pohl

The recognition heuristic is hypothesized to be a frugal inference strategy assuming that inferences are based on the recognition cue alone. This assumption, however, has been questioned by existing research. At the same time most studies rely on the proportion of choices consistent with the heuristic as a measure of its use which may not be fully appropriate. In this study, we propose an index to identify true users of the heuristic contrasting them to decision makers who incorporate further knowledge beyond recognition. The properties and the applicability of the proposed index are investigated in the reanalyses of four published experiments and corroborated by a new study drawn up to rectify the shortcomings of the reanalyzed experiments. Applying the proposed index to explore the influence of knowledge we found that participants who were more knowledgeable made use of the information available to them and achieved the highest proportion of correct inferences.


Nature ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 589 (7840) ◽  
pp. 26-28
Author(s):  
Kevin C. Ma ◽  
Marc Lipsitch
Keyword(s):  
Big Data ◽  

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 679-682
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Gjurchinovski ◽  
Thomas Jüngling ◽  
Viktor Urumov
Keyword(s):  

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