Measuring the Inflation Risk Premium on U.S. Treasury Securities: Does the Federal Government Have a Risk Premium?

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ross McCown ◽  
Ron Shaw
Author(s):  
Joseph G. Haubrich

This Economic Commentary explains a relatively new method of uncovering inflation expectations, real interest rates, and an inflation-risk premium. It provides estimates of expected inflation from one month to 30 years, an estimate of the inflation-risk premium, and a measure of real interest rates, particularly a short (one-month) rate, which is not readily available from the TIPS market. Calculations using the method suggest that longer-term inflation expectations remain near historic lows. Furthermore, the inflation-risk premium is also low, which in the model means that inflation is not expected to deviate far from expectations.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 (06) ◽  
pp. 1-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olesya V. Grishchenko ◽  
◽  
Jing-zhi Huang

1995 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 881-892 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quentin C. Chu ◽  
Cheng F. Lee ◽  
Deborah N. Pittman

2017 ◽  
pp. 111-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Zhemkov ◽  
O. Kuznetsova

This paper is devoted to the measurement of inflation expectations in Russia based on stock market data for the period from July 2015 to December 2016. It calculates the difference between the yields of the nominal and inflation-indexed government bonds and adjusts it to the inflation risk premium and liquidity risk premium to obtain inflation expectations. This net indicator represents inflation expectations of the participants of the stock market. The estimated inflation expectations can be used to analyze the effectiveness of the information policy.


FEDS Notes ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 (1720) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Chen ◽  
◽  
Eric Engstrom ◽  
Olesya Grishchenko

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 ◽  
pp. 90-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eddy Azoulay ◽  
Menachem Brenner ◽  
Yoram Landskroner ◽  
Roy Stein

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (64) ◽  
pp. 755-806 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geert Bekaert ◽  
Xiaozheng Wang

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