Fiscal Policy in the EU in the Crisis: A Model-Based Approach

AbstractThis analysis makes use of economic forecasts for 2020 issued by the European Commission in Autumn 2019 and Spring 2020, and of a counterfactual under a no-policy change assumption, to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on EU households´ income. Additionally, our analysis assesses the cushioning effect of discretionary fiscal policy measures taken by the EU Member States. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to affect significantly households’ disposable income in the EU, with lower income households being more severely hit. However, our results show that due to policy intervention, the impact of the crisis is expected to be similar to the one experienced during the 2008–2009 financial crisis. In detail, our results indicate that discretionary fiscal policy measures will play a significant cushioning role, reducing the size of the income loss (from −9.3% to −4.3% for the average equivalised disposable income), its regressivity and mitigating the poverty impact of the pandemic. We conclude that policy interventions are therefore instrumental in cushioning against the impact of the crisis on inequality and poverty.

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Model based analysis of the EU power system based on RES — A case study for Greece and Germany

2015 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) ◽

10.1109/eem.2015.7216729 ◽

2015 ◽

Author(s):

Pantelis Capros ◽

Marilena Zampara ◽

Nikos Tasios ◽

Dimitris Papadopoulos ◽

Christoph Kost ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Power System ◽

Model Based ◽

The Eu ◽

Model Based Analysis

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Fiscal policy events and interest rate swap spreads: Evidence from the EU

Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money ◽

10.1016/j.intfin.2005.12.002 ◽

2007 ◽

Vol 17 (3) ◽

pp. 261-276 ◽

Cited By ~ 35

Author(s):

António Afonso ◽

Rolf Strauch

Keyword(s):

Fiscal Policy ◽

Interest Rate ◽

Interest Rate Swap ◽

Swap Spreads ◽

Rate Swap ◽

The Eu

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Fiscal policy and growth forecasts in the EU: are official forecasters still misestimating fiscal multipliers?

Review of World Economics ◽

10.1007/s10290-021-00428-z ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

David Cronin ◽

Kieran McQuinn

Keyword(s):

Fiscal Policy ◽

Fiscal Multipliers ◽

The Eu ◽

Growth Forecasts

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Banking solvency determinants in the EU: a model based on stress tests

Applied Economics Letters ◽

10.1080/13504851.2017.1418071 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 25 (18) ◽

pp. 1296-1300 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Julio Abad-González ◽

Cristina Gutiérrez-López ◽

Ana Salvador

Keyword(s):

Stress Tests ◽

Model Based ◽

The Eu

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Panel Data Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the EU New Member States

Fiscal Studies ◽

10.1111/j.1475-5890.2014.12028.x ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 35 (2) ◽

pp. 189-224 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Paweł Borys ◽

Piotr Ciżkowicz ◽

Andrzej Rzońca

Keyword(s):

Fiscal Policy ◽

Panel Data ◽

Member States ◽

New Member States ◽

Policy Shocks ◽

Eu New Member States ◽

The Eu

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THE INFLUENCE OF THE INTEGRATION IN THE EUROPEAN UNION ON THE ROMANIAN FISCAL LEGISLATION

STUDIES AND SCIENTIFIC RESEARCHES ECONOMICS EDITION ◽

10.29358/sceco.v0i13.18 ◽

2008 ◽

pp. 56

Author(s):

Mircea Muntean ◽

Doina Pacurari

Keyword(s):

European Union ◽

Fiscal Policy ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Value Added ◽

The European Union ◽

European Directives ◽

Eu Directives ◽

Dividend Tax ◽

Excise Duties ◽

The Eu

Fiscal policy constitutes – within the state's economic policy – a system by means of which the taxes and duties owed to the country's consolidated budget are established and collected. Taking into account the role fiscal policy has been playing since Romania's admission in the European Union, one of the goals ceaselessly looked for is its adapting to the international community's acquis through the implementation of the European directives in our context. The EU directives make reference to direct taxes: dividend tax, interest income tax, assets transfer, shares exchange, income taxation for the non-residents, and so on, along with the indirect taxes: value-added tax, excise duties, etc. The paper approaches the main provisions within the contents of the European directives as well as the means of their implementation in the Romanian fiscal legislation regarding various types of taxes. The implementation of the European directives has been simultaneous with the establishing of measures concerning fiscal fraud prevention, frauds liable to have a negative impact on the state's consolidated budget.

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Changes in the fiscal policy of EU states after the 2008 crisis

International Journal of Management and Economics ◽

10.2478/ijme-2019-0004 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 55 (1) ◽

pp. 52-65 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Witold Wiliński

Keyword(s):

Economic Growth ◽

Fiscal Policy ◽

European Parliament ◽

Steady Increase ◽

Fiscal Policies ◽

National Debt ◽

Eu Countries ◽

Fiscal Compact ◽

The Eu ◽

Debt Levels

Abstract The aim of this article is an extensive presentation of the fiscal policy conducted by the EU states in the years 2008–2015. The analysis concerns the legal regulations introduced at the EU level by the European Parliament and the Council, as well as the fiscal policies of governments of particular states. The first part of the article analyzes basic macroeconomic data in EU states concerning the level of debt, the level of gross domestic product (GDP) redistribution, and the level of economic growth in the analyzed period. The second part discusses the legal acts adopted by the European Parliament and the Council (the so-called ‘sixpack’ and the European Fiscal Compact), aimed at improving macroeconomic balance and ensuring supervision over the proper functioning of national finances. The third part analyzes the discretionary fiscal policies pursued in EU states. The main conclusions of this article are as follows: (i) EU countries recorded higher national debt levels and debt growth rates between 2008 and 2015 than most non-EU Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries; (ii) despite legal measures taken by the European Council and the European Commission in the form of the sixpack and the European Fiscal Compact, and despite discretionary fiscal measures such as in the form of the European Economic Recovery Plan, five EU countries (Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain) have experienced a steady increase in their national debt levels; and (iii) deep reforms in the composition and level of government expenditure are a prerequisite for reducing national debt levels and for achieving satisfactory economic growth in these countries.

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