scholarly journals Capital Controls or Real Exchange Rate Policy? A Pecuniary Externality Perspective

Author(s):  
Gianluca Benigno ◽  
Huigang Chen ◽  
Alessandro Rebucci ◽  
Christopher Otrok ◽  
Eric Young
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gianluca Benigno ◽  
Christopher Otrok ◽  
Alessandro Rebucci ◽  
Eric R. Young ◽  
Huigang Chen

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gianluca Benigno ◽  
Huigang Chen ◽  
Christopher Otrok ◽  
Alessandro Rebucci ◽  
Eric R. Young

Author(s):  
Vusal Gasimli ◽  
Vusala Jafarova

The case of Azerbaijan serves to study the adequacy of exchange-rate policy in a resource-rich economy. This paper analyses the behavior of Azerbaijan’s external accounts over the past twenty years. Declining oil prices made an existing exchange-rate peg unsustainable and led to a large devaluation in 2015. Since then, the current account balance has improved, but by less than expected. We use the EBA-Lite method to derive regression-based estimates of the equilibrium real exchange rate, and relate misalignments to measures of “policy gaps”. Our findings suggest that only a few years after the devaluation, Azerbaijan’s currency has once more become overvalued. Moreover, the equilibrium real exchange rate is volatile and hardly compatible with a long-run exchange rate peg. Exchange rate policy should try to accommodate shifts in the fundamental determinants such as relative productivity and real oil prices.


2007 ◽  
Vol 52 (03) ◽  
pp. 335-361 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHINJI TAKAGI

The paper reviews Japan's exchange rate policy from the end of the Bretton Woods era to the present. The Japanese authorities used various tools to manage the yen–dollar exchange rate over much of this period. The most dominant was official foreign exchange intervention, which in most instances took the form of "leaning against the wind". Capital controls were also used but, with full capital account convertibility, ceased to exist as an instrument of exchange rate policy by the mid-1980s. Following the post-Plaza appreciation of the yen, the authorities eased monetary policy to arrest the appreciating pressure. The possible role of exchange rate policy in the great asset inflation that followed, however, remains unanswered. More recently, exchange rate policy during the period of prolonged stagnation and fragile recovery was made subordinate to the overall stance of macroeconomic policy. In this regard, particularly striking in terms of scale and frequency was the "great intervention" of 2003–2004. Equally striking has been the total absence of official intervention since. It would require a renewed substantial volatility of the yen to know whether this indeed marks a permanent shift in Japan's exchange rate policy.


2006 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy Debelle ◽  
Michael Plumb

After the end of the Bretton Woods system in the early 1970s, exchange rate policy in Australia moved through several regimes over an extended period. The overarching theme was to increase flexibility and efficiency in the Australian currency market and the financial system more generally. This paper documents Australia's gradual move from a fixed to a floating exchange rate and the abolition of capital controls, with an emphasis on the thinking behind various reforms and the practical difficulties encountered during the reform process. Policy reform was often in response to external forces exposing deficiencies in the prevailing system, rather than through a carefully planned path to greater flexibility. Ultimately, a combination of domestic and international factors rendered the move to a flexible exchange rate largely inevitable.


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