Firing Costs and Business Cycle Fluctuations

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Veracierto

2008 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Veracierto




2014 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 993-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Beaudry ◽  
Franck Portier

There is a widespread belief that changes in expectations may be an important independent driver of economic fluctuations. The news view of business cycles offers a formalization of this perspective. In this paper we discuss mechanisms by which changes in agents' information, due to the arrival of news, can cause business cycle fluctuations driven by expectational change, and we review the empirical evidence aimed at evaluating their relevance. In particular, we highlight how the literature on news and business cycles offers a coherent way of thinking about aggregate fluctuations, while at the same time we emphasize the many challenges that must be addressed before a proper assessment of the role of news in business cycles can be established. (JEL D83, D84, E13, E32, O33)





Author(s):  
Benedetto Molinari ◽  
Francesco Turino


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 72-100
Author(s):  
Abdelsalam BOUKHEROUFA

The main objective of this paper is to highlight the most important shocks that drives the business cycles in the Algerian economy. Using Bayesian estimation techniques, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) using four time series of the Algerian macroeconomics. Through this estimated model, which succeeded in capturing the dynamics of the Algerian economy data, we found three main results: First, the main causes of business cycle fluctuations in the Algerian economy are aggregate demand shocks. Second, the of government spending shock play the most important role in output fluctuations. Third, empirical results show evidences of procyclical in government spending policies.



2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Vasilev

PurposeIn this study, inventories are introduced as a productive input into a real-business-cycle (RBC) setup augmented with the government.Design/methodology/approachThe model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period 1999–2019. The quantitative importance of the presence of inventories is investigated.FindingsThe quantitative effect of inventories is found to be important: decreasing consumption volatility and increasing employment variability. Those results, however, are at the expense of decreasing wage volatility and increasing investment volatility, and generally worsening the contemporaneous correlations of the main variables with output.Originality/valueFluctuations in inventory levels matter for business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria, which is a novel result. Still, there is a need for more research on the incorporation of inventories into RBC models to better fit the Bulgarian experience.



2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 499-518
Author(s):  
Dennis Wesselbaum

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to introduce productivity-dependent firing costs into an otherwise standard endogenous separations matching model. The authors suggest an alternative to the standard fix cost approach and account for empirical evidence emphasizing that firing costs vary across workers. The authors show that the model with firing costs outperformes the model without firing costs and replicates the empirical facts fairly well. Furthermore, the authors present cross-country evidence that countries with stricter employment protection have a weaker Beveridge curve relation and surprisingly more volatile job flow rates. Design/methodology/approach – The authors begin the analysis at the intersection of labor and product markets. For this purpose, the authors derive a real business cycle model with search and matching frictions and endogenous separations. The authors enrich this set-up by introducing productivity-dependent firing costs. Findings – The authors show that the model with firing costs outperformes the model without firing costs and replicates the empirical facts fairly well. Furthermore, the authors present cross-country evidence that countries with stricter employment protection have a weaker Beveridge curve relation and surprisingly more volatile job flow rates. Originality/value – This paper introduces productivity-dependent firing costs into an otherwise standard endogenous separations matching model. The authors suggest an alternative to the standard fix cost approach and account for empirical evidence emphasizing that firing costs vary across workers. The authors show that the model with firing costs outperformes the model without firing costs and replicates the empirical facts fairly well. Furthermore, the authors present cross-country evidence that countries with stricter employment protection have a weaker Beveridge curve relation and surprisingly more volatile job flow rates.





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