scholarly journals Investigating the Presence of a Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass Through: A Markov Switching Model Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arshad Hayat ◽  
◽  
Philip Katz ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 705-716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuad Noman ◽  
Sh-Hussain Salleh ◽  
Chee-Ming Ting ◽  
S. Balqis Samdin ◽  
Hernando Ombao ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Idowu Oluwasayo Ayodeji

Several authors have examined the long swings hypothesis in exchange rates using a two-state Markov switching model. This study developed a model to investigate long swings hypothesis in currencies which may exhibit ak-state(k≥2)pattern. The proposed model was then applied to euros, British pounds, Japanese yen, and Nigerian naira. Specification measures such as AIC, BIC, and HIC favoured a three-state pattern in Nigerian naira but a two-state one in the other three currencies. For the period January 2004 to May 2016, empirical results suggested the presence of asymmetric swings in naira and yen and long swings in euros and pounds. In addition, taking0.5as the benchmark for smoothing probabilities, choice models provided a clear reading of the cycle in a manner that is consistent with the realities of the movements in corresponding exchange rate series.


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