Compartmental models with transfer delays: a semi-Markov approach

1985 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 570-582
Author(s):  
Mary G. Leitnaker ◽  
Peter Purdue

Compartmental models for which transfer from one compartment to another takes a non-negligible time have been studied in the deterministic case. These models rely on the use of differential equations with delayed arguments. In this paper we show how the well-known structure of the semi-Markov process can be used to analyse stochastic compartmental models with transfer delays. Evaluation of the limiting behavior is much simpler in the stochastic model than in previous deterministic formulations. In addition, time-dependent behavior can be analysed using numerical quadrature methods.

1985 ◽  
Vol 22 (03) ◽  
pp. 570-582
Author(s):  
Mary G. Leitnaker ◽  
Peter Purdue

Compartmental models for which transfer from one compartment to another takes a non-negligible time have been studied in the deterministic case. These models rely on the use of differential equations with delayed arguments. In this paper we show how the well-known structure of the semi-Markov process can be used to analyse stochastic compartmental models with transfer delays. Evaluation of the limiting behavior is much simpler in the stochastic model than in previous deterministic formulations. In addition, time-dependent behavior can be analysed using numerical quadrature methods.


2015 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Petr V. Shnurkov ◽  
Alexey V. Ivanov

AbstractWe consider a discrete stochastic model of inventory control based on a controlled semi-Markov process. Probabilistic characteristics of the semi-Markov process are found along with characteristics of a stationary cost functional connected with this process. It is proved that an optimal policy of inventory control is a deterministic one. Explicit analitical representation of stationary functional characterising the control quality is obtained. An optimal control problem is reduced to the solution of an extremal problem for a multivariate function.


Author(s):  
Sudesh Kumari ◽  
Rajeev Kumar

The paper allocates a stochastic model on threesimilar units three-phased mission system. The developed system consists of units working in parallel, series and parallel configurations respectively. Initially, the three similar units are operational. Each component has only three states: good, degraded and failed. In this case, the single repair facility that repairs the units in first come first serve (FCFS)pattern has been thought of. Using Semi-Markov Process and regenerative point techniques, various measures of the system performance at each phase are obtained. The system has been analyzed graphically taking a particular case. Various conclusions are made regarding the reliability and cost consideration of the system at each phase as well as for the whole system(as combined Phase I, Phase II, Phase III).


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 768-791 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claude Lefèvre ◽  
Matthieu Simon

AbstractIn this paper we are concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an epidemic in a closed homogeneously mixing population when an infective can go through several stages of infection before being removed. The transitions between stages are governed by either a Markov process or a semi-Markov process. An infective of any stage makes contacts amongst the population at the points of a Poisson process. Our main purpose is to derive the distribution of the final epidemic size and severity, as well as an approximation by branching, using simple matrix analytic methods. Some illustrations are given, including a model with treatment discussed by Gani (2006).


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 024503
Author(s):  
Mohammed amin Ferdi ◽  
Abdelaaziz Bouziane ◽  
Mourad Djebli

1993 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 548-560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasushi Masuda

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the conditional behavior of the multivariate reward process given the number of certain signals where the underlying system is described by a semi-Markov process and the signal is defined by a counting process. To this end, we study the joint behavior of the multivariate reward process and the multivariate counting process in detail. We derive transform results as well as the corresponding real domain expressions, thus providing clear probabilistic interpretation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 104300
Author(s):  
Yi Chong Cheng ◽  
Ri Hong Zhang ◽  
Kui Hua Wang ◽  
Zhi Yong Ai

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 415-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Dianat ◽  
M Taghizadeh ◽  
F Shahidi ◽  
SMA Razavi

In this study, the effect of barley malt extract at two brix levels (74 and 79 °Bx) and three ratios of malt extract/honey (65:35, 70:30 and 75:25) on the flow behavior properties of honey–malt spread at three temperature levels (35 ℃, 45 ℃ and 55 ℃) was investigated. Time-dependent behavior data of the spread samples were appropriately fitted to the Weltman, first-order stress decay with a zero stress value and first-order stress decay with a non-zero stress value models. Also, the Power-law, Herschel–Bulkley, Casson and Bingham models were used for curve fitting the time-independent behavior data. Regarding the R2 and root mean square error coefficients, the first-order stress decay with a non-zero stress value and Herschel–Bulkley models were selected as the suitable models to describe the flow behavior of samples. The results for time-dependent properties showed that spread samples exhibit a thixotropic behaviour, as the viscosity for all samples decreased with increase in shearing time at a constant shear rate of 50 s−1.


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