Modelling Residential and Commercial Demand for Electricity Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models

Author(s):  
Kenneth H. Tiedemann
2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 913-927 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bent Nielsen ◽  
Jouni S. Sohkanen

We generalize the cumulative sum of squares (CUSQ) test to the case of nonstationary autoregressive distributed lag models with deterministic time trends. The test may be implemented with either ordinary least squares residuals or standardized forecast errors. In explosive cases the asymptotic theory applies more generally for the least squares residuals-based test. Preliminary simulations of the tests suggest a very modest difference between the tests and a very modest variation with nuisance parameters. This supports the use of the tests in explorative analysis.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. e0245828
Author(s):  
Ali Hassan Shabbir ◽  
Jiquan Zhang ◽  
James D. Johnston ◽  
Samuel Asumadu Sarkodie ◽  
James A. Lutz ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Soren Jordan ◽  
Andrew Q. Philips

In this article, we introduce dynamac, a suite of commands designed to assist users in modeling and visualizing the effects of autoregressive distributed lag models and in testing for cointegration. We discuss the bounds cointegration test proposed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics 16: 289–326), which we have adapted into a command. Because the resulting models can be dynamically complex, we follow the advice of Philips (2018, American Journal of Political Science 62: 230–244) by introducing a flexible command designed to dynamically simulate and plot a variety of types of autoregressive distributed lag models, including error-correction models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 117-131
Author(s):  
Yuzhu Tian ◽  
Liyong Wang ◽  
Manlai Tang ◽  
Yanchao Zang ◽  
Maozai Tian

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