A Refined Kriging Surrogate Model for Subset Simulation

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Braun ◽  
Dalong Shi ◽  
Florian Schwaiger ◽  
Florian Holzapfel
Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Yongqiang Wang ◽  
Ye Liu ◽  
Xiaoyi Ma

The numerical simulation of the optimal design of gravity dams is computationally expensive. Therefore, a new optimization procedure is presented in this study to reduce the computational cost for determining the optimal shape of a gravity dam. Optimization was performed using a combination of the genetic algorithm (GA) and an updated Kriging surrogate model (UKSM). First, a Kriging surrogate model (KSM) was constructed with a small sample set. Second, the minimizing the predictor strategy was used to add samples in the region of interest to update the KSM in each updating cycle until the optimization process converged. Third, an existing gravity dam was used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the GA–UKSM. The solution obtained with the GA–UKSM was compared with that obtained using the GA–KSM. The results revealed that the GA–UKSM required only 7.53% of the total number of numerical simulations required by the GA–KSM to achieve similar optimization results. Thus, the GA–UKSM can significantly improve the computational efficiency. The method adopted in this study can be used as a reference for the optimization of the design of gravity dams.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Danyang Wang ◽  
Chunrong Hua ◽  
Dawei Dong ◽  
Biao He ◽  
Zhiwen Lu

Parameters identification of cracked rotors has been gaining importance in recent years, but it is still a great challenge to determine the crack parameters including crack location, depth, and angle for operating rotors. This work proposes a new method to identify crack parameters in a rotor-bearing system based on a Kriging surrogate model and an improved nondominated sorting genetic algorithm-III (NSGA-III). A rotor-bearing system with a breathing crack is established by the finite element method and the superharmonic components are used as index to detect the cracks, the Kriging surrogate model between crack parameters and the superharmonic component amplitudes of the vibration response for rotors are constructed, and an improved NSGA-III is proposed to obtain the optimal crack parameters. Numerical experiments show that the proposed method can identify the crack location, depth, and angle accurately and efficiently for operating rotors.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (16) ◽  
pp. 3343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiajia Shi ◽  
Liu Chu ◽  
Eduardo Souza de Cursi

The utilization of modal frequency sensors is a feasible and effective way to monitor the settlement problem of the transmission tower foundation. However, the uncertainties and interference in the real operation environment of transmission towers highly affect the accuracy and identification of modal frequency sensors. In order to reduce the interference of modal frequency sensors for transmission towers, a Kriging surrogate model is proposed in this study. The finite element model of typical transmission towers is created and validated to provide the effective original database for the Kriging surrogate model. The prediction accuracy and convergences of the Kriging surrogate model are measured and confirmed. Besides the merits in computational cost and high-efficiency, the Kriging surrogate model is proven to have a satisfied and robust interference reduction capacity. Therefore, the Kriging surrogate model is feasible and competitive for interference filtration in the settlement surveillance sensors of steel transmission towers.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 2428 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiwen Lu ◽  
Yong Lv ◽  
Huajiang Ouyang

Dynamic model updating based on finite element method (FEM) has been widely investigated for structural damage identification, especially for static structures. Despite the substantial advances in this method, the key issue still needs to be addressed to boost its efficiency in practical applications. This paper introduces the updating idea into crack identification for rotating rotors, which has been rarely addressed in the literature. To address the problem, a novel Kriging surrogate model-based FEM updating method is proposed for the breathing crack identification of rotors by using the super-harmonic nonlinear characteristics. In this method, the breathing crack induced nonlinear characteristics from two locations of the rotors are harnessed instead of the traditional linear damage features for more sensitive and accurate breathing crack identification. Moreover, a FEM of a two-disc rotor-bearing system with a response-dependent breathing crack is established, which is partly validated by experiments. In addition, the associated breathing crack induced nonlinear characteristics are investigated and used to construct the objective function of Kriging surrogate model. Finally, the feasibility and the effectiveness of the proposed method are verified by numerical experiments with Gaussian white noise contamination. Results demonstrate that the proposed method is effective, accurate, and robust for breathing crack identification in rotors and is promising for practical engineering applications.


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