scholarly journals Training courses on “Steering an Expert Knowledge Elicitation” and “Use of the Expert Knowledge Elicitation Guidance in Risk Assessments for EFSA Management” and “Conduct of the Sheffield protocol for an Expert Knowledge Elicitation”

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andy Hart ◽  
John Paul Gosling ◽  
John Quigley ◽  
Matthew Revie ◽  
Hans‐Hermann Thulke ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abigail Colson ◽  
Fergus Bolger ◽  
Simon French ◽  
Lynn Frewer ◽  
John Paul Gosling ◽  
...  

Stats ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 184-204
Author(s):  
Carlos Barrera-Causil ◽  
Juan Carlos Correa ◽  
Andrew Zamecnik ◽  
Francisco Torres-Avilés ◽  
Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos

Expert knowledge elicitation (EKE) aims at obtaining individual representations of experts’ beliefs and render them in the form of probability distributions or functions. In many cases the elicited distributions differ and the challenge in Bayesian inference is then to find ways to reconcile discrepant elicited prior distributions. This paper proposes the parallel analysis of clusters of prior distributions through a hierarchical method for clustering distributions and that can be readily extended to functional data. The proposed method consists of (i) transforming the infinite-dimensional problem into a finite-dimensional one, (ii) using the Hellinger distance to compute the distances between curves and thus (iii) obtaining a hierarchical clustering structure. In a simulation study the proposed method was compared to k-means and agglomerative nesting algorithms and the results showed that the proposed method outperformed those algorithms. Finally, the proposed method is illustrated through an EKE experiment and other functional data sets.


Author(s):  
Iga Jarosz* ◽  
Julia Lo ◽  
Jan Lijs

Many high-risk industries identify non-technical skills as safety-critical abilities of the operational staff that have a protective function against human fallibility. Based on an established non-technical skills classification system, methods for expert knowledge elicitation were used to describe non-technical skills in the specific context of train traffic control in the Netherlands. The findings offer insights regarding the skill importance for good operational outcomes, skill difficulty, categorization, and attitudes based on subject matter experts’ opinions. Substantial overlap between the employed non-technical skills framework and the observed expert classification was found, which might indicate that the experts utilize a mental model of nontechnical skills similar to the one used. Furthermore, considerations concerning the organizational culture and the attitudes towards change provide a promising outlook when introducing novel solutions to non-technical skill training and assessment.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin Okechukwu Okoli ◽  
Gordon Weller ◽  
John Watt

Purpose – Experienced fire ground commanders are known to make decisions in time-pressured and dynamic environments. The purpose of this paper is to report some of the tacit knowledge and skills expert firefighters use in performing complex fire ground tasks. Design/methodology/approach – This study utilized a structured knowledge elicitation tool, known as the critical decision method (CDM), to elicit expert knowledge. Totally, 17 experienced firefighters were interviewed in-depth using a semi-structured CDM interview protocol. The CDM protocol was analysed using the emergent themes analysis approach. Findings – Findings from the CDM protocol reveal both the salient cues sought, which the authors termed critical cue inventory (CCI), and the goals pursued by the fire ground commanders at each decision point. The CCI is categorized into five classes based on the type of information each cue generates to the incident commanders. Practical implications – Since the CDM is a useful tool for identifying training needs, this study discussed the practical implications for transferring experts’ knowledge to novice firefighters. Originality/value – Although many authors recognize that experts perform exceptionally well in their domains of practice, the difficulty still lies in getting a structured method for unmasking experts’ tacit knowledge. This paper is therefore relevant as it presents useful findings following a naturalistic knowledge elicitation study that was conducted across different fire stations in the UK and Nigeria.


Author(s):  
Robert R. Hoffman ◽  
Paul J. Feltovich ◽  
David W. Eccles

Whereas knowledge management relies on processes of knowledge elicitation, there is also a process in which knowledge is “recovered,” typically from archived documents. We conducted a knowledge recovery (KR) effort, going from documents to a structured set of propositions concerning expert knowledge about terrain analysis, discussing landforms, soils, rock types, etc. Assertions and feature associations were recast as over 3,000 propositions. When contrasted with results from previous evaluations of methods of knowledge elicitation, KR was costly in terms of time and effort, suggesting that knowledge-based organizations should make knowledge capture an on-going aspect of work, rather than finding themselves in the “catch-up mode” to recover lost expertise. For both knowledge elicitation and recovery, the knowledge has to be represented in a form that is usable and useful (e.g., instantiation in knowledge bases). We created from the propositions a navigable knowledge model based on over 150 Concept Maps, which were hyperlinked together and to dozens of resources (aerial photos, maps, diagrams, etc.). Such knowledge models are intended to make the “expertise of the past” more useful and usable in training and in performance support.


2012 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob M. Rose ◽  
Britton A. McKay ◽  
Carolyn Strand Norman ◽  
Anna M. Rose

ABSTRACT We investigate whether the use of decision aids that integrate experts' knowledge structures into their designs can effectively promote the acquisition of expert-like knowledge and improve future judgments. Results of two laboratory experiments (one involving 115 senior accounting students and one involving 78 master of accounting students) indicate that: (1) novice users of a decision aid that has an expert knowledge structure embedded into its interface make complex fraud risk assessments that are more similar to experts' risk assessments than do users of aids without expert knowledge structures; (2) users of a decision aid that has an expert knowledge structure embedded into its interface develop knowledge structures that are more similar to the knowledge structures of experts than do users of aids without expert knowledge structures; (3) knowledge structures mediate the relationship between decision aid design and judgment performance; and (4) novices develop expertise through decision aid use even when they are not instructed to learn from the decision aid.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andy Hart ◽  
Gene Rowe ◽  
Fergus Bolger ◽  
Abigail Colson

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