Optimizing Small, Low-Risk, Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Treatment Using Game Theory

Author(s):  
A.T. Boltyenkov ◽  
J.J. Wang ◽  
A. Malhotra ◽  
J.M. Katz ◽  
A.R. Dehdashti ◽  
...  
Stroke ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tapan Mehta ◽  
Smit Patel ◽  
Shailesh Male ◽  
Andrew Zhang ◽  
Adam Khan ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
H Godbout ◽  
J Jarrett ◽  
GE Pickett

Background: Intracranial aneurysms are relatively common and often incidentally detected. Elective treatment may eliminate the risk of future hemorrhage, but carries risks of permanent deficit or death. Case-control studies have suggested factors predisposing to aneurysm rupture as well as risks of elective aneurysm repair. A clinical tool was recently developed to weigh benefits of repair against treatment risks. We evaluate its performance against real-world clinical decisions made by a cerebrovascular multidisciplinary team (MDT). Methods: Chart review of all patients with unruptured intracranial berry aneurysms (UIA) discussed at cerebrovascular MDT rounds 2008-2015. Management decisions and clinical outcomes were recorded. The Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Treatment Score (UIATS) was calculated for each patient (each aneurysm in the case of multiple UIA). Results: We identified 240 patients with a total of 279 aneurysms. UIATS recommended aneurysm repair in 79 cases, conservative management in 88 cases, and was equivocal in 112 cases. Where the UIATS gave a clear decision, that decision was concordant with the MDT decision in 119/167 cases (71%). Discordant decisions often related to the presence of comorbidities. Clinical outcomes did not differ in cases where the recommendations were clearly concordant vs. discordant. Conclusions: The UIATS may provide guidance to non-expert clinicians. It did not outperform the MDT.


2018 ◽  
Vol 129 (1) ◽  
pp. 100-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijay M. Ravindra ◽  
Adam de Havenon ◽  
Timothy C. Gooldy ◽  
Jonathan Scoville ◽  
Jian Guan ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEThe purpose of this study was to compare the unruptured intracranial aneurysm treatment score (UIATS) recommendations with the real-world experience in a quaternary academic medical center with a high volume of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs).METHODSAll patients with UIAs evaluated during a 3-year period were included. All factors included in the UIATS were abstracted, and patients were scored using the UIATS. Patients were categorized in a contingency table assessing UIATS recommendation versus real-world treatment decision. The authors calculated the percentage of misclassification, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.RESULTSA total of 221 consecutive patients with UIAs met the inclusion criteria: 69 (31%) patients underwent treatment and 152 (69%) did not. Fifty-nine (27%) patients had a UIATS between −2 and 2, which does not offer a treatment recommendation, leaving 162 (73%) patients with a UIATS treatment recommendation. The UIATS was significantly associated with treatment (p < 0.001); however, the sensitivity, specificity, and percentage of misclassification were 49%, 80%, and 28%, respectively. Notably, 51% of patients for whom treatment would be recommended by the UIATS did not undergo treatment in the real-world cohort and 20% of patients for whom conservative management would be recommended by UIATS had intervention. The area under the ROC curve was 0.646.CONCLUSIONSCompared with the authors’ experience, the UIATS recommended overtreatment of UIAs. Although the UIATS could be used as a screening tool, individualized treatment recommendations based on consultation with a cerebrovascular specialist are necessary. Further validation with longitudinal data on rupture rates of UIAs is needed before widespread use.


Neurology ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 85 (10) ◽  
pp. 881-889 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nima Etminan ◽  
Robert D. Brown ◽  
Kerim Beseoglu ◽  
Seppo Juvela ◽  
Jean Raymond ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 124 (3) ◽  
pp. 784-790 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Bonares ◽  
Peter Egeto ◽  
Airton Leonardo de Oliveira Manoel ◽  
Kristin A. Vesely ◽  
R. Loch Macdonald ◽  
...  

OBJECT The treatment of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) is not free of morbidity and mortality, and the decision is made by weighing the risks of treatment complications against the risk of aneurysm rupture. This meta-analysis quantitatively analyzed the literature on the effects of UIA treatment on cognition. METHODS MEDLINE, Embase, and PsycInfo were systematically searched for studies that reported on the cognitive status of UIA patients before and after aneurysm treatment. The search was restricted to prospective cohort and case-control studies published between January 1, 1998, and January 1, 2013. The analyses focused on the effect of treatment on general cognitive functioning, with an emphasis on 4 specific cognitive domains: executive functions, verbal and visual memory, and visuospatial functions. RESULTS Eight studies, with a total of 281 patients, were included in the meta-analysis. Treatment did not affect general cognitive functioning (effect size [ES] −0.22 [95% CI −0.78 to 0.34]). Executive functions and verbal memory domains trended toward posttreatment impairment (ES −0.46 [95% CI −0.93 to 0.01] and ES −0.31 [95% CI −1.24 to 0.61]), and performance of visual memory tasks trended toward posttreatment improvement (ES 1.48 [95% CI −0.36 to 3.31]). Lastly, treatment did not significantly affect visuospatial functions (ES −0.08 [95% CI −0.30 to 0.45]). CONCLUSIONS The treatment of an UIA does not seem to affect long-term cognitive function. However, definitive conclusions were not possible due to the paucity of studies addressing this issue.


Neurology ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 86 (8) ◽  
pp. 792.2-793 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas E. Mayer ◽  
Nima Etminan ◽  
Akio Morita ◽  
Seppo Juvela

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