scholarly journals Antarctic precipitation and its contribution to the global sea-level budget

1998 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 220-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
David H. Bromwich ◽  
Richard I. Cullather ◽  
Michael L. Van Woert

Antarctic precipitation estimations derived from several new sources are examined in comparison to results found previously. The availability of analyzed atmospheric datasets has been a significant and beneficial tool for atmospheric and climate research for a broad range of research interests. This is particularly true for the polar regions, where the observational arrays are sparsely distributed. in high southern latitudes, a comprehensive assimilation of all available observations, including satellite data, is necessary for an accurate depiction of the atmospheric circulation. Recent st udies have found the operational analyses of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts to be superior to those of other weather-forecasting centers in depicting the large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns over Antarctica. “Re-analysis” programs at major weather-forecasting centers have produced atmospheric numerical analyses using a “frozen” data-assimilation system. These projects have also derived precipitation and evaporation fields using an ensemble of short-term forecasts. From these new sources, Antarctic Ρ - E (precipitation minus evaporation/sublimation) is compared and evaluated against the long-term glaciological synthesis, as well as results from previous studies. The comparisons indicate significant regional disagreements exist between P — E from the re-analysis forecasts and the glaciological data. For the ensemble forecasting method, the continental-average evaporation is the largest area of uncertainty and differs by an order of magnitude between the rc-analysis datasets. This finding supports the use of the atmospheric moisture budget for determining P — E collectively in atmospheric diagnostic studies for Antarctica.

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 3235-3248 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Tramblay ◽  
S. El Adlouni ◽  
E. Servat

Abstract. Maghreb countries are highly vulnerable to extreme hydrological events, such as floods and droughts, driven by the strong variability of precipitation. While several studies have analyzed the presence of trends in precipitation records for the Euro-Mediterranean basin, this study provides a regional assessment of trends on its southernmost shores. A database of 22 stations located in Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia with between 33 and 59 yr of daily precipitation records is considered. The change points and trends are analyzed for eleven climate indices, describing several features of the precipitation regime. The issue of conducting multiple hypothesis tests is addressed through the implementation of a false discovery rate procedure. The spatial and interannual variability of the precipitation indices at the different stations are analyzed and compared with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns, including the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), western Mediterranean Oscillation (WEMO), Mediterranean Oscillation (MO) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Results show a strong tendency towards a decrease of precipitation totals and wet days together with an increase in the duration of dry periods, mainly for Morocco and western Algeria. On the other hand, only a few significant trends are detected for heavy precipitation indices. The NAO and MO patterns are well correlated with precipitation indices describing precipitation amounts, the number of dry days and the length of wet and dry periods, whereas heavy precipitation indices exhibit a strong spatial variability and are only moderately correlated with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns.


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