scholarly journals On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Ireland
2013 ◽  
Vol 82 (6) ◽  
pp. 732-750
Author(s):  
John Ashworth ◽  
David Barlow ◽  
Lynne Evans

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 137-160
Author(s):  
Eduardo Lima Campos ◽  
Rubens Penha Cysne

This paper compares the time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter techniques to estimate the Brazilian money demand between 1996 and 2015. The estimation using Kalman filtering performs better and is subsequently used to calculate the welfare cost of inflation. Taking into consideration the time variability of the interest-rate elasticity during the period, the average welfare cost amounts to 0.24% of the GDP, for an average annual inflation of 6.63%.


2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (S2) ◽  
pp. 217-251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paola Boel ◽  
Gabriele Camera

The welfare cost of anticipated inflation is quantified in a matching model of money calibrated to 23 different OECD countries for several sample periods. In most economies, in the common period 1978–1998, a representative agent would give up only a fraction of 1% of consumption to avoid 10% inflation. The welfare cost of inflation varies across countries, from a fraction of 0.1% in Japan, to more than 2% in Australia, reaching 6% with bargaining. The model fits money demand data of several countries poorly, however. The fit generally improves with longer sample periods. The results are fairly robust to variations in choice of calibrated parameters and calibration targets.


2012 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-96
Author(s):  
Siffat Mushtaq ◽  
Abdul Rashid Abdul Rashid ◽  
Abdul Qayyum Abdul Qayyum

In this paper, we quantify welfare costs of inflation for Pakistan for the period 1960-2007 using semi-log and double-log money demand functions. We find that the welfare gain of moving from positive inflation to zero inflation is approximately the same under both money demand specifications but the behaviour of the two models is fairly different towards low interest rates. Moving from zero inflation to zero nominal interest rate has a substantial gain under double-log form compared to the semi-log function. The compensating variation approach for the semi-log model gives higher welfare loss figures compared to Bailey’s approach. However, the two approaches yield approximately the same welfare cost of inflation for the double-log specification. Keywords: Monetary Policy, Inflation, Interest Rate, Welfare Costs, Money Demand Functions


2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (S2) ◽  
pp. 223-261 ◽  
Author(s):  
ALEKSANDER BERENTSEN ◽  
SAMUEL HUBER ◽  
ALESSANDRO MARCHESIANI

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 775-797 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen M. Miller ◽  
Luis Filipe Martins ◽  
Rangan Gupta

Money-demand specifications exhibit instability, especially for long spans of data. This paper reconsiders the welfare cost of inflation for the US economy using a flexible time-varying (TV) cointegration methodology to estimate the money-demand function. We find evidence that the TV cointegration estimation provides a better fit of the actual data than a time-invariant estimation and that the throughout unitary income elasticity only exists for the log–log form over the entire sample period. Our estimate of the welfare cost of inflation for a 10% inflation rate lies in the range of 0.025–0.75% of gross domestic product (GDP) and averages 0.27%. In sum, our findings fall well within the ranges of existing studies of the welfare cost of inflation. We find that the welfare cost averages 7.4% higher during expansions than recessions for 10% inflation rate. Finally, the interest elasticity of money demand shows substantial variability over our sample period.


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