scholarly journals Rule-Based Models for Risk Estimation and Analysis of In-hospital Mortality in Emergency and Critical Care

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Haas ◽  
Andreas Maier ◽  
Eva Rothgang

We propose a novel method that uses associative classification and odds ratios to predict in-hospital mortality in emergency and critical care. Manual mortality risk scores have previously been used to assess the care needed for each patient and their need for palliative measures. Automated approaches allow providers to get a quick and objective estimation based on electronic health records. We use association rule mining to find relevant patterns in the dataset. The odds ratio is used instead of classical association rule mining metrics as a quality measure to analyze association instead of frequency. The resulting measures are used to estimate the in-hospital mortality risk. We compare two prediction models: one minimal model with socio-demographic factors that are available at the time of admission and can be provided by the patients themselves, namely gender, ethnicity, type of insurance, language, and marital status, and a full model that additionally includes clinical information like diagnoses, medication, and procedures. The method was tested and validated on MIMIC-IV, a publicly available clinical dataset. The minimal prediction model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.69, while the full prediction model achieved a value of 0.98. The models serve different purposes. The minimal model can be used as a first risk assessment based on patient-reported information. The full model expands on this and provides an updated risk assessment each time a new variable occurs in the clinical case. In addition, the rules in the models allow us to analyze the dataset based on data-backed rules. We provide several examples of interesting rules, including rules that hint at errors in the underlying data, rules that correspond to existing epidemiological research, and rules that were previously unknown and can serve as starting points for future studies.

Author(s):  
CHING-PAO CHANG

Reducing software defects is an essential activity for Software Process Improvement. The Action-Based Defect Prediction (ABDP) approach fragments the software process into actions, and builds software defect prediction models using data collected from the execution of actions and reported defects. Though the ABDP approach can be applied to predict possible defects in subsequent actions, the efficiency of corrections is dependent on the skill and knowledge of the stakeholders. To address this problem, this study proposes the Action Correction Recommendation (ACR) model to provide recommendations for action correction, using the Negative Association Rule mining technique. In addition to applying the association rule mining technique to build a High Defect Prediction Model (HDPM) to identify high defect action, the ACR builds a Low Defect Prediction Model (LDPM). For a submitted action, each HDPM rule used to predict the action as a high defect action and the LDPM rules are analyzed using negative association rule mining to spot the rule items with different characteristics in HDPM and LDPM rules. This information not only identifies the attributes required for corrections, but also provides a range (or a value) to facilitate the high defect action corrections. This study applies the ACR approach to a business software project to validate the efficiency of the proposed approach. The results show that the recommendations obtained can be applied to decrease software defect removal efforts.


Author(s):  
CHING-PAO CHANG ◽  
CHIH-PING CHU

Reducing the variance between expectation and execution of software processes is an essential activity for software development, in which the Causal Analysis is a conventional means of detecting problems in the software process. However, significant effort may be required to identify the problems of software development. Defect prevention prevents the problems from occurring, thus lowering the effort required in defect detection and correction. The prediction model is a conventional means of predicting the problems of subsequent process actions, where the prediction model can be built from the performed actions. This study proposes a novel approach that applies the Intertransaction Association Rule Mining techniques to the records of performed actions in order to discover the patterns that are likely to cause high severity defects. The discovered patterns can then be applied to predict the subsequent actions that may result in high severity defects.


2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rizal Setya Perdana ◽  
Umi Laili Yuhana

Kualitas perangkat lunak merupakan salah satu penelitian pada bidangrekayasa perangkat lunak yang memiliki peranan yang cukup besar dalamterbangunnya sistem perangkat lunak yang berkualitas baik. Prediksi defectperangkat lunak yang disebabkan karena terdapat penyimpangan dari prosesspesifikasi atau sesuatu yang mungkin menyebabkan kegagalan dalam operasionaltelah lebih dari 30 tahun menjadi topik riset penelitian. Makalah ini akandifokuskan pada prediksi defect yang terjadi pada kode program (code defect).Metode penanganan permasalahan defect pada kode program akan memanfaatkanpola-pola kode perangkat lunak yang berpotensi menimbulkan defect pada data setNASA untuk memprediksi defect. Metode yang digunakan dalam pencarian polaadalah memanfaatkan Association Rule Mining dengan Cumulative SupportThresholds yang secara otomatis menghasilkan nilai support dan nilai confidencepaling optimal tanpa membutuhkan masukan dari pengguna. Hasil pengujian darihasil pemrediksian defect kode perangkat lunak secara otomatis memiliki nilaiakurasi 82,35%.


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