scholarly journals Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Inference for the Generalized Pareto Distribution Based on Progressive Type II Censored Sample

Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuehua Hu ◽  
Wenhao Gui
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Generalized Pareto Distribution ◽  
Delta Method ◽  
Type Ii ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Hazard Functions ◽  
Generalized Pareto ◽  
Censored Sample ◽  
Type Ii Censored Sample

In this paper, first we consider the maximum likelihood estimators for two unknown parameters, reliability and hazard functions of the generalized Pareto distribution under progressively Type II censored sample. Next, we discuss the asymptotic confidence intervals for two unknown parameters, reliability and hazard functions by using the delta method. Then, based on the bootstrap algorithm, we obtain another two pairs of approximate confidence intervals. Furthermore, by applying the Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques, we derive the Bayesian estimates of the two unknown parameters, reliability and hazard functions under various balanced loss functions and the corresponding confidence intervals. A simulation study was conducted to compare the performances of the proposed estimators. A real dataset analysis was carried out to illustrate the proposed methods.

Bayesian Survival Analysis for Generalized Pareto Distribution Under Progressively Type II Censored Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050001
Author(s):  
Shaowei Li ◽  
Wenhao Gui
Keyword(s):  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Survival Function ◽  
Information Matrix ◽  
Generalized Pareto Distribution ◽  
Delta Method ◽  
Point Estimate ◽  
Type Ii ◽  
Nonparametric Bootstrap ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Generalized Pareto

In this paper, based on the progressively type II censoring data of generalized Pareto distribution, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation and asymptotic interval estimations of survival function and hazard function by using the Fisher information matrix and delta method. Also, we present a nonparametric Bootstrap-p method to generate the bootstrap samples and derive confidence interval estimation. In addition, we propose the Bayes estimator of Adaptive Rejection Metropolis Sampling algorithm to derive the point estimate and credible intervals. Finally, Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the performances of the three proposed methods based on different data schemes. An illustrative example is presented.

scholarly journals On the BLUE of the scale parameter of the generalized Pareto distribution

2000 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 165-174
Author(s):  
S. W. Cheng ◽  
C. H. Chou
Keyword(s):  
Order Statistics ◽  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Scale Parameter ◽  
Generalized Pareto Distribution ◽  
Generalized Pareto ◽  
Sigma 1 ◽  
Censored Sample ◽  
Unbiased Estimates ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
Type Ii Censored Sample

In this article, we will study the linear estimation of the scale parameter of the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) which has the probability density function (p.d.f.)$$ f(x)=\left\{\begin{array}{ll} \sigma^{-1}(1-rx/\sigma)^{1/r-1},~~& r\not=0 \\ \sigma^{-1}\exp(-x/\sigma),&r=0. \end{array}\right.$$We first derive the expected value, variances and covariances of the order statistics from the GPD. Then proceed to find the best linear unbiased estimates of the scale parameter $\sigma$ based on a few order statistics selected from a complete sample or a type-II censored sample. Results of some chosen cases were tabulated.

Characterization of ERA5 daily precipitation using the extended generalized Pareto distribution

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pauline Rivoire ◽  
Olivia Martius ◽  
Philippe Naveau
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Daily Precipitation ◽  
Generalized Pareto Distribution ◽  
Value Theory ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Simultaneous Occurrence ◽  
Lower Tail ◽  
Generalized Pareto ◽  
Return Levels

<p>Both mean and extreme precipitation are highly relevant and a probability distribution that models the entire precipitation distribution therefore provides important information. Very low and extremely high precipitation amounts have traditionally been modeled separately. Gamma distributions are often used to model low and moderate precipitation amounts and extreme value theory allows to model the upper tail of the distribution. However, difficulties arise when making a link between upper and lower tail. One solution is to define a threshold that separates the distribution into extreme and non-extreme values, but the assignment of such a threshold for many locations is not trivial. </p><p>Here we apply the Extended Generalized Pareto Distribution (EGPD) used by Tencaliec & al. 2019. This method overcomes the problem of finding a threshold between upper and lower tails thanks to a transition function (G) that describes the transition between the empirical distribution of precipitation and a Pareto distribution. The transition cumulative distribution function G has to be constrained by the upper tail and lower tail behavior. G can be estimated using Bernstein polynomials.</p><p>EGPD is used here to characterize ERA-5 precipitation. ERA-5 is a new ECMWF climate re-analysis dataset that provides a numerical description of the recent climate by combining a numerical weather model with observations. The data set is global with a spatial resolution of 0.25° and currently covers the period from 1979 to present.</p><p>ERA-5 daily precipitation is compared to EOBS, a gridded dataset spatially interpolated from observations over Europe, and to CMORPH, a satellite-based global precipitation product. Simultaneous occurrence of extreme events is assessed with a hit rate. An intensity comparison is conducted with return levels confidence intervals and a Kullback Leibler divergence test, both derived from the EGPD.</p><p>Overall, extreme event occurrences between ERA5 and EOBS over Europe appear to agree. The presence of overlap between 95% confidence intervals on return levels highly depends on the season and the probability of occurrence.</p>

scholarly journals Inferences for Generalized Pareto Distribution Based on Progressive First-Failure Censoring Scheme

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Rashad M. El-Sagheer ◽  
Taghreed M. Jawa ◽  
Neveen Sayed-Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Confidence Region ◽  
Generalized Pareto Distribution ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Failure Data ◽  
Generalized Pareto

In this article, we consider estimation of the parameters of a generalized Pareto distribution and some lifetime indices such as those relating to reliability and hazard rate functions when the failure data are progressive first-failure censored. Both classical and Bayesian techniques are obtained. In the Bayesian framework, the point estimations of unknown parameters under both symmetric and asymmetric loss functions are discussed, after having been estimated using the conjugate gamma and discrete priors for the shape and scale parameters, respectively. In addition, both exact and approximate confidence intervals as well as the exact confidence region for the estimators are constructed. A practical example using a simulated data set is analyzed. Finally, the performance of Bayes estimates is compared with that of maximum likelihood estimates through a Monte Carlo simulation study.

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