scholarly journals Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence from India

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 11714-11723

We empirically examine fund managers’ stock selection and market timing ability using various risk-adjusted measures such as CAPM and multifactor models of FamaFrench (1993) and Carhart (1997) to gauge mutual fund performance in India. The sample consists of 183 actively managed equity-oriented funds and covers the period from April 2000 to March 2018. The study, on the whole, documents some evidence of positive and significant stock selection ability but fails to yield any notable evidence of market timing ability of fund managers. Our results are robust according to various riskadjusted performance evaluation techniques, sub-period analysis, excluding the crisis period and at the individual fund level. The findings of our study are in line with the previous studies that report limited selectivity skill and market timing ability among fund managers. The main implication of the study is that active portfolio management may not be very rewarding in comparison to a passive investment strategy.

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-135
Author(s):  
Pick-Soon Ling ◽  
Ruzita Abdul-Rahim

Background and Purpose: Studies focusing on mutual fund managerial abilities and investment style strategies are still scarce in the literature. Thus, this study aims to provide new evidence and insights into the managerial abilities and investment style performances of Malaysian fund managers.   Methodology: A total of 444 Malaysian equity mutual funds (EMFs) were evaluated using Carhart’s model incorporated with Treynor-Mazuy (T-M) and Henriksson-Merton (H-M) market timing models for the study period, from January 1995 to December 2017.   Findings: Fund managers displayed superior stock selection skills with 32 percent and 43 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively, with perverse market timing ability which accounted for 39 percent and 42 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively. Perverse timing ability had reduced the superior stock-picking skills of fund managers. This suggests that the EMFs performance could further improve if respective fund managers perform better in market timing ability. The finding also indicates that size effect (SMB) and value effect (HML) play significant roles in investment style strategies, while results of momentum factor (WML) propose that Malaysian fund managers have followed the contrarian strategy.   Contributions: This study contributes in several ways especially in the literature of portfolio management as the evidence is obtained from the largest mutual funds sample size and the longest study period. Moreover, this study also used the highest frequency data to study the effects of market timing which were overlooked in previous studies.   Keywords: Adjusted carhart, Malaysian market, market timing, mutual fund, stock selection.   Cite as: Ling, P-S., & Abdul-Rahim, R. (2021). Managerial abilities and factor investment style performances of Malaysian mutual funds.  Journal of Nusantara Studies, 6(1), 118-135. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol6iss1pp118-135


2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 5-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irma Gavrilova

Over the last decade, Lithuania has witnessed a growing interest in investment promoted by the need to successfully manage available funds. Direct investments (e. g. buying and selling stocks) require a specific knowledge of investment instruments. Therefore, an ordinary investor finds investment in mutual funds easier and cheaper. Usually the most important questions to the investor include measuring the results of a fund and the quality of the actions performed by the fund managers. The article evaluates the rates of mutual fund performance and identifies their shortages. The methods for evaluating investment return according to the level of risk and timing ability of the fund managers are presented using the Sharpe ratio and Treynor-Mazuy model on the basis of which mutual funds in Lithuania are analyzed. Santrauka Paskutinįjį dešimtmetį Lietuvoje pastebimas žmonių susidomėjimo investavimu augimas – tai skatina poreikis sėkmingai „įdarbinti“ turimas laisvas lėšas. Investuoti tiesiogiai (perkant atskirų įmonių akcijas ir pan.) daug kam yra pernelyg sudėtinga (reikia specialių žinių apie įvairius investavimo objektus, gilios rinkos analizės), be to, dažnai tiesiogiai investuoti yra gana brangu, todėl ne vienas žmogus pasirenka sprendimą – investuoti į fondus. Fondų dalyviams aktualiausia, kaip tinkamai vertinti fondų rezultatus. Straipsnyje identifikuojami investicinių fondų valdymo įmonių naudojami veiklos vertinimo rodikliai bei jų trūkumai. Pateikiamas investicinių fondų veiklos vertinimo, atsižvelgiant į riziką ir savalaikiškumą, metodas naudojant Šarpo bei Treynoro ir Mazuy rodiklius. Remiantis rodikliais atlikta Lietuvos investicinių fondų grąžos bei fondų valdytojų efektyvumo analizė.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gusni ◽  
Silviana ◽  
Faisal Hamdani

The evaluation of equity mutual fund performance and identification factors that affect mutual fund performance is of great interest to an investor in Indonesia. This study investigates the performance of equity mutual fund by using risk-adjusted performance proposed by Treynor (1965) and examines factors affecting mutual fund performance by using the ability of investment manager (market timing and stock selection skill), fund size, and inflation. To achieve the objectives of this study, a total of 19 equity mutual funds was selected using purposive sampling method from the period from 2011 to 2015. A panel data analysis method has been used to analyze the effect of those factors on the equity mutual fund performance. The result showed that equity mutual fund performance tends to fluctuate in Indonesia. Equity mutual fund performance influenced by stock selection skill and inflation, meanwhile, market timing skill and fund size have no significant effect on the equity mutual fund performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Mochammad Arif Budiono ◽  
Musdalifah - Azis

<p align="justify"><em>This study aims to analyze the effect of market timing ability and fund size of mutual funds on the performance of equity funds. This research was conducted at a mutual fund company registered in the Financial Services Authority (OJK) 2018-2019 period. This study uses purposive sampling with a total sample of 65 mutual fund shares. The type of data used is quantitative data and data sources in the form of company annual financial statements. Data analysis tools used are descriptive statistics and panel data regression. The results of this study indicate that the market timing ability has a significant positive effect on the mutual fund performance and the fund size has a significant negative effect on the mutual fund performance.</em></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-68
Author(s):  
Sanaullah Sanaullah ◽  
Amna Noor ◽  
Salleh Khan ◽  
Muhammad Shahbaz Khan

This study aims to determine the stock selection ability and market timing ability of mutual fund managers, focusing on conventional funds and Islamic funds in Pakistan.  Although there has been significant growth in the number and assets of mutual funds in recent years, few studies measure the performance of mutual funds managers. The scarcity of existing literature motivates this study. In this study, two models are used to measure the stock selection and market timing on a sample of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds over 2010 and 2019 using annual returns. Overall, the results indicate that the performance study of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds indicates that manager performance is not superior in all three portfolios, i.e., conventional funds, Islamic funds, and overall funds in over sample period. This also indicates that both Conventional and Islamic fund managers do not outperform the market (KSE 100 index). Thus, there is a lack of market timing ability. Using Tranoy and mazuy and Jansen models found a lack of stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers in Pakistani mutual funds. In this study, I have applied only two models to examine both the timing and selection ability of conventional and Islamic Pakistani equity funds. For future possibilities, the study suggests adopting several methods and approaches like the TMFF3 model and HM-FF3 model, making the study more comprehensive and accurate than this research.


2007 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumya Guha Deb ◽  
Ashok Banerjee ◽  
B B Chakrabarti

Evaluation of performance of mutual funds and identification of successful fund managers are of great interest to both investors and academicians. Two possible methods that are presumed to be used by fund managers for generating superior performance are identified as: Market timing: Market timing skills imply assessing correctly the direction of the market, whether bull or bear, and positioning their portfolios accordingly. Stock selection: Stock selection skills involve micro forecasting, which generally forecasts price movements of individual stocks relative to stocks and identification of individual stocks that are under-or over-valued relative to equities in general. The two pioneering works in this field is by Treynor Mazuy( 1966) and Henriksson Merton ( 1981). They developed two different models for testing the market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers but found little evidence of timing by the fund managers in their samples. Most of the other works mentioned in the paper have used these two models (which we name as traditional/unconditional models) or slight variations of the same for testing market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers. Person and Scadt (1996) modified the classical performance measures (of timing and stock selection ability) to take account of well-known information variables like interest rate, market dividend yield, etc. They termed it as ‘conditional approach’ of measuring mutual fund performance and claimed that conditioning on public information controls for biases in traditional market timing and stock selection models. Traditional models have taken the view that ‘any information’ correlated with the future market returns is superior information; in other words, they are unconditional models. Person and Scadt's approach used basically the same simplifying assumptions as the traditional models but they assumed, in addition, semi-strong form of market efficiency. The idea was to distinguish between market timing based on public information from market timing information that is superior to the lagged publicly available information variables. Although the academic literature on stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers is rich and spans several decades, not many studies exist on this issue using emerging market data. This paper attempts to find the stock selection and market timing abilities of the Indian mutual fund managers using unconditional as well as conditional approaches. With a sample of 96 Indian mutual fund schemes, a lack of market timing ability and presence of stock selection ability were observed among the Indian funds managers in both unconditional as well as conditional approaches. A pooled regression was carried out for various categories of funds as well as for the entire sample, which also showed a lack of market timing abilities and presence of stock selection abilities.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. S157-S184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pankaj K. Agarwal ◽  
H. K. Pradhan

In contrast to developed countries, Indian capital markets do not exhibit strong efficiency and therefore it appears possible that fund managers beat the benchmarks. We examine the existence of superior performance of open-ended equity mutual funds in India with various models including traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)-based as well as recent Fama–French–Carhart (FFC)-factors-based models. We use a survivorship-bias free database including all schemes since inception till recently. We found evidence of stock picking and timing abilities in Indian fund managers. Our results are robust to changes in benchmarks, return frequency, and effects of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC).


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