American National Election Studies (ANES) Cumulative Data File, 1948-2008

A Hawthorne effect found in election studies is that pre-election survey participation increases voter turnout. Using the Swedish National Election Studies, Granberg and Holmberg (1992) showed evidence in support of this effect. However, their findings have been criticized and more recent studies have failed to find any treatment effect of pre-election survey participation (cf. Mann 2005). This study re-examines an updated version of Granberg and Holmberg's time-series cumulative data file covering eight additional election studies (for a total of 14 election studies from 1960 to 2010). These studies have an experimental component, since half of the sample was randomly assigned to be interviewed before the election and the other half after the election. By comparing validated turnout in the pre-election sample with the post-election sample, it is possible to estimate the causal effect of survey participation on voter turnout. The results show that participating in the pre-election survey indeed has a significant and positive effect on voter turnout. Moreover, this article evaluates whether the treatment effect is unevenly distributed in the population. Results show that citizens with a low propensity to vote are more affected by taking part in election studies than citizens with a high propensity to vote. The study also estimates the long-term effects of survey participation. Results show that participating in an election survey can have significant effects on voter turnout several years later.

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The National Election Studies Revisited

Journal of Canadian Studies ◽

10.3138/jcs.24.4.141 ◽

1990 ◽

Vol 24 (4) ◽

pp. 141-147 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Nelson Wiseman

Keyword(s):

National Election ◽

Election Studies

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What Are the Effects of Educational Mobility on Political Interest and Participation in the Indian Electorate?

Asian Survey ◽

10.1525/as.2012.52.2.423 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 52 (2) ◽

pp. 423-439

Author(s):

Reetika Syal

Keyword(s):

Statistical Analysis ◽

Political Participation ◽

Demographic Factors ◽

National Election ◽

Political Interest ◽

Educational Mobility ◽

Access To Resources ◽

Education Levels ◽

Economic Constraints ◽

Election Studies

Abstract This article finds, through statistical analysis of the National Election Studies (2004) data, that an increase in intergenerational education levels can positively influence an individual's political interest and political participation. Participatory trends in India are influenced by demographic factors such as caste, class, gender, income, and locality. However, this study finds that education can have a liberating effect from these various socio-economic constraints. It can provide greater access to resources and information, thus helping to increase active political participation.

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Microtargeting and Electorate Segmentation: Data Mining the American National Election Studies

Journal of Political Marketing ◽

10.1080/15377857.2010.497732 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 9 (3) ◽

pp. 143-166 ◽

Cited By ~ 17

Author(s):

Gregg Murray ◽

Anthony Scime

Keyword(s):

Data Mining ◽

National Election ◽

Election Studies

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FAIR national election studies: How well are we doing?

European Political Science ◽

10.1057/s41304-018-0194-3 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 18 (4) ◽

pp. 651-668

Author(s):

Christina Eder ◽

Alexander Jedinger

Keyword(s):

National Election ◽

Election Studies

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Las elecciones presidenciales en EEUU 2012-2016. Un estudio comparativo desde una perspectiva estatal e individual

Norteamérica ◽

10.22201/cisan.24487228e.2021.1.449 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 16 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Reynaldo Yunuen Ortega Ortiz ◽

Ma. Edith Pacheco Muñoz

Keyword(s):

National Election ◽

Election Studies

En este artículo nos preguntamos: ¿Cuál fue la capacidad explicativa de la desigualdad y la pobreza en el ámbito estatal en las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unido en 2012 y 2016? ¿Cuál fue el balance estatal en las elecciones presidenciales en Estados Unidos? Y exploramos a nivel individual, utilizando la “American National Election Studies Survey”, ¿qué variables nos ayudan a entender el voto en favor de los candidatos presidenciales republicanos en 2012 y 2016? Así, para contestar nuestras preguntas realizamos dos análisis, uno, en el ámbito estatal, y otro, a partir de los votantes, con el fin de explicar los resultados contrastantes de 2012 y 2016.

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