Forecasting the Impact of Technology Infusion on Subsonic Transport Affordability

1998 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle R. Kirby ◽  
Dimitri N. Mavris
Author(s):  
GwangKi Min ◽  
Eun Suk Suh ◽  
Katja Hölttä-Otto

Complex systems often have long life cycles with requirements that are likely to change over time. Therefore, it is important to be able to adapt the system accordingly over time. This is often accomplished by infusing new technologies into the host system in order to update or improve overall system performance. However, technology infusion often results in a disruption in the host system. This can take the form of a system redesign or a change in the inherent attributes of the system. In this study, we analyzed the impact of technology infusion on system attributes, specifically the complexity and modularity. Two different systems that were infused with new technologies were analyzed for changes in complexity and modularity.


Author(s):  
Marcie J. Bober

Evaluating the impact of technology infusion is fraught with challenges. In this chapter, the author argues that the variance in evaluation rigor and quality about which so many complain depicts definitional confusion about technological literacy—the central premise underlying nearly all technology initiatives. She offers strategies for improving how we operationalize technological literacy as a construct—in part by drawing on the best of the many standards systems proffered by well-respected professional associations and educational agencies. She closes the discussion with a brief examination of other evaluative complications that exacerbate measurement/assessment—to wit, the criticality of engaging stakeholders; timely evaluator selection; and robust, up-front evaluation design and planning,


Author(s):  
Eun Suk Suh ◽  
Michael R. Furst ◽  
Kenneth J. Mihalyov ◽  
Olivier L. de Weck

Many product manufacturing companies in today’s environment constantly need to develop new technologies and infuse them into their line of products to stay ahead of the competition. Most new technologies only deliver value once they are successfully infused into a parent system. However, there has been very little research done to develop formal methodologies to assess the impact and implication of new technology infusion into existing products. In this paper, a systematic process framework to quantify and assess the impact of technology infusion early in the product planning cycle is proposed. The proposed methodology quantitatively estimates the impact of technology infusion through the use of a Design Structure Matrix (DSM) and the creation of a Delta DSM (ΔDSM) describing the changes to the original system based on the infused technology. The cost for technology infusion is then estimated from the ΔDSM, and the market impact of the technology is calculated using customer value (utility) curves for customer relevant system performance measures. Finally, the probabilistic ΔNPV of a newly infused technology is obtained using Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed methodology was demonstrated on a complex printing system, represented as an 84 element DSM with a density of 3.7%, where a newly developed value enhancing technology was infused into the existing product. The result shows that a positive marginal net present value ΔNPV can be expected, despite the new technology causing an invasiveness of 8.5% to the existing design. The methodology can be applied in a rigorous and repeatable manner, opening up possibilities for further implementation of the proposed framework, including analysis of the interactions amongst technologies.


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