Maximum entropy production: can it be used to constrain conceptual hydrological models?
Abstract. In recent years, optimality principles have been proposed to constrain hydrological models. The principle of Maximum Entropy Production (MEP) is one of the proposed principles and is subject of this study. It states that a steady state system is organized in such a way that entropy production is maximized. However, within hydrology, tests against observations are still missing. The aim of this paper is to test the MEP principle to reduce equifinality of a simple conceptual (bucket) model. We used the principle of maximizing power, which is equivalent to MEP when a constant temperature is assumed. Power is determined by multiplying a flux with its gradient. We thus defined for each flux in the model a gradient and checked if parameter sets that maximize power also reproduce the observed water balance. Subsequently we concluded that with the used model concept, this does not work. It would be easy to reject the MEP hypothesis to explain our findings, but we believe that our test is incomplete. By referring to the flaws in our own model concept, we believe that many issues can be learned about how to use MEP to constrain hydrological models. Among others, the most important are: (1) fluxes should be defined as a gradient divided by a resistance, where the flux feeds back on the gradient; (2) there should be a trade-off between two or more different fluxes, where, in principle, only one resistance can be optimized and (3) each process should have the right degrees of freedom: what are the feedbacks on this flux and what limits the flux?