scholarly journals Interest Rate – Private Capital Formation Nexus in South Africa: Bounds Test Approach

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Khumalo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Private Capital ◽  
Bounds Test

The impact of debt service costs and public debt on private capital formation in South Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheunesu Zhou
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Private Capital ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between public debt, corporate debt service costs and private capital formation in South Africa.Design/methodology/approachTo capture the long-run characteristic of investment, the study adopts the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares approach and tests for cointegration using Hansen (1992)'s Parameter Instability test.FindingsWe find that private capital formation increases in domestic debt and decreases in external debt during the pre-crisis period. However, during the period post the Global Financial Crisis, we find evidence of domestic public debt crowding out private capital formation, whereas external debt crowds-in capital formation. Debt service costs are found to reduce investment due to the effect of the debt overhang throughout the period under analysis.Research limitations/implicationsThe paper has important implications for macroeconomic policy. In particular, there is need for deleveraging and allocation of a higher proportion of debt to public infrastructure expenditure which has complementary effects on private investment.Practical implicationsDebt overhang signal that South African firms could be over-leveraged, which hinders future growth prospects. Firms that face high levels of debt should consider debt restructuring.Originality/valueEmpirical studies undertaken to explore this relationship have yielded contradicting results suggesting that the relationship between public debt and private investment is heterogeneous depending on a given economy or prevailing macroeconomic environment. In particular, existing research does not provide evidence on whether recent increases in public debt in South Africa have led to crowding-in or crowding-out of private investment. This paper therefore contributes to empirical literature on the impact of public debt on private investment within a small open economy.

scholarly journals The impact of interest rate spread on the banking system efficiency in South Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1546417
Author(s):  
Varaidzo batsirai Shayanewako ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Christian Nsiah
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Banking System ◽  
System Efficiency ◽  
Interest Rate Spread ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Risk, opportunities and reasons of the household debt changes: The case of an emerging economy

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 476-484
Author(s):  
Sisimogang Tracy Seane ◽  
Gisele Mah ◽  
Paul Saah
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Disposable Income ◽  
Household Debt ◽  
Household Savings ◽  
Income Household ◽  
Household Disposable Income

In the past decades, household debt in both developed and developing countries have been increasing. With an increase in the standard of living, household debt is also bound to increase. This paper examines the cointegration and causal link among household disposable income, household savings, and debt service ratio, lending interest rate, consumer price index and household debt in South Africa. An Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Granger causality techniques was used to analyse data collected from the South African Reserve Bank and Quantec from 1984 to 2014. The results of Autoregressive Distributed Lag test revealed cointegrating relationships between household debt and debt service ratio as well as household debt and lending interest rate. However, there is no long run cointegrating relationship between household disposable income, household savings and consumer price index with household debt. The Granger causality results revealed that household disposable income, household savings, debt service ratio, lending interest rate, consumer price index do Granger cause household debt in South Africa. Policy makers should thus target these variables in order to reduce household debt in South Africa.

scholarly journals Money Demand Function for Nepal: An Empirical View from Expenditure Component

2019 ◽  
pp. 12-25
Author(s):  
Pujan Adhikari
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Final Consumption ◽  
On Demand ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation ◽  
Short Run

This paper examines the long run and short-run dynamics relationship between broad money, consumption expenditure, capital stock and interest rate in Nepal over the period of 1975-2017. This paper employs ARDL bound testing approach for co-integration between the broad money demand and its determinants. Result reveals the evidence of cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the demand for money is affected by the interest rate and final consumption expenditure both in the long run and short-run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run and short-run as well. On contrast, interest rate is positively associated with Broad money demand, which is not consistent with theoretically. Positive association of money demand with interest rate shows that demand for money function is instability in Nepal. Thus, this study suggests that policy maker to correct price fluctuation through the control of various expenditure components, particularly, real final consumption expenditure might be an important strategy in the long run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run.

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